The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
The Odyssey
58%
▼ 2
58¢
60¢
$1.67
$27.1K
Dune: Part Three
19%
19¢
20¢
$5.00
$5.7K
Project Hail Mary
6%
4¢
10¢
$10.53
$1.2K
Whalefall
5%
1¢
10¢
$10.00
$217
Wild Horse Nine
5%
1¢
10¢
$10.00
$132
The Black Ball
4%
▼ 2
3¢
7¢
$14.93
$1K
Disclosure Day
4%
1¢
7¢
$13.89
$489
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
1¢
5¢
$21.28
$241
The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
0¢
1¢
$154
The Drama
<1%
0¢
1¢
$191
The Social Reckoning
<1%
0¢
0¢
$98
Cry to Heaven
<1%
0¢
0¢
$112
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Grok Says Its AI-Generated Version of The Odyssey Is ‘Not Historically Accurate’WIRED · 16 h agoYou don’t hear the defenders of so-called western civilization talk much about The Odyssey these days. Maybe that’s because their rabid denunciations of Christopher Nolan’s film adaptation of Homer’s epic were buried in an avalanche of…
Vera Wang Presents Inaugural Solstiss-Academy Award to Nicole AlsonsoWWD · 19 h agoAlsonso, a student at Instituto Marangoni, won for her creativity and innovative use of Solstiss lace. Vera Wang presented the inaugural Solstiss-Academy Award to Nicole Alsonso, a student at Instituto Marangoni, naming her America’s Top…
This Is the Only Horror Movie to Ever Win Best Picture at the Academy Awardsvice · 37 h agoComing to you from around the world, VICE Digital’s team strives to capture the people at the heart of stories, and focus on the ideas, issues, and context that other outlets miss. Get unlimited access to everything VICE has to offer…
WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning ActorWrestling Inc. · 45 h agoFormer World Heavyweight and Undisputed Champion Drew McIntyre says this renowned actor wants to join forces with him in the WWE. WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning Actor Once he comes back, WWE…
India’s Oscar Entry ‘Gondhal’ Unveils Global Trailer (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 17 h ago“Gondhal,” the Marathi-language thriller India has put forward for the international feature Oscar at the 99th Academy Awards, has launched its global trailer as its awards push moves into a new phase. The film is the first feature from…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
