Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $318 today · $57.7K traded · $46.4K at stake · prices read 16 min ago

The odds

78%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything78%▲ 3
  • NAZA18%
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem4%▲ 1
  • Musk2%▲ 2
  • American Doctor2%▲ 2
  • Nuisance Bear<1%
  • One in a Million<1%
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party<1%
  • Tutu<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 14th<1%

How the odds have moved

You Can See Everything: 78% on Oct 20, 78% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
You Can See Everything 78% ▲ 3 78¢ 79¢ $1.27 70.3K
NAZA 18% 18¢ 19¢ $5.26 10.1K
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 4% ▲ 1 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 9.7K
Musk 2% ▲ 2 4¢ $25.00 1.9K
American Doctor 2% ▲ 2 4¢ $25.00 6.1K
Nuisance Bear <1% 1¢ $100.00 738
One in a Million <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.3K
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party <1% 1¢ $100.00 12.00
Tutu <1% 1¢ $100.00 181
Tie <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K
14th <1% 1¢ $100.00 469

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner

72%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything72%▲ 2
  • NAZA20%
  • American Doctor3%
  • Nuisance Bear2%▲ 1
5 more
  • One in a Million2%
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party2%▲ 1
  • Tutu2%
  • Musk1%
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $246 today · $44.8K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Feature Film

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All awards ›

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

44%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey44%▼ 2
  • You Can See Everything29%▼ 2
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three6%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 4
  • John Malkovich86%▼ 3
  • Andrew Scott85%
16 more
  • John Turturro47%▲ 5
  • Tom Cruise45%▼ 20
  • Robert Pattinson44%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling43%▼ 2
  • Anthony Ippolito40%▲ 9
  • Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson18%▲ 1
  • Pedro Pascal16%
  • Timothée Chalamet11%▼ 2
  • Sam Rockwell6%▲ 1
  • Javier Bardem5%▲ 1
  • Adam Driver5%▲ 1
  • Josh O'Connor4%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%
  • Project Hail Mary77%▲ 1
  • The Debut77%
  • You Can See Everything76%▼ 5
  • I Play Rocky62%▲ 17
  • The Invite61%
  • All of a Sudden38%
  • Fjord34%▼ 3
  • Obsession31%▼ 1
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth25%▲ 2
  • Elsinore24%▼ 7
  • Digger19%
  • Behemoth!18%▲ 3
  • Michael14%▲ 3
  • Avengers: Doomsday7%
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • Fatherland5%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

91%The Debut
  • The Debut91%▲ 7
  • Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 5
  • Club Kid56%▼ 4
15 more
  • Obsession47%▼ 7
  • Fjord43%▼ 5
  • Elsinore34%▲ 9
  • Behemoth!21%▼ 3
  • The Drama21%▲ 1
  • Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma18%▼ 1
  • Digger13%
  • Josephine12%▲ 2
  • Forgotten Island5%▼ 11
  • The Odyssey4%
  • A Place in Hell4%
  • The Invite4%
  • Fatherland3%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth3%
  • The Black Ball2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway88%
  • Samantha Morton82%▲ 5
  • Penélope Cruz77%
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto61%▼ 2
  • Amanda Seyfried41%▲ 1
  • Kate O'Flynn34%▼ 8
  • Olivia Colman32%▲ 6
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▼ 4
  • Sandra Hüller25%▼ 5
  • Parker Posey21%▲ 1
  • Merritt Wever18%▼ 6
  • Gemma Chan10%▼ 5
  • Zendaya9%▲ 2
  • Danielle Deadwyler8%▼ 11
  • Betty Gilpin6%▲ 2
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions