Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year): 14% on Oct 20, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14%
14¢
15¢
$6.67
$236K
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
14%
13¢
14¢
$7.14
$272K
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
13%
▲ 1
12¢
13¢
$7.69
$203K
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
11%
10¢
11¢
$9.09
$188K
Enriched Uranium Surrender
9%
8¢
9¢
$11.11
$102K
Iran Reconstruction Funding
7%
6¢
7¢
$14.29
$346K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Gold has crashed over 25% since the US-Iran war beganFinbold · 17 h agoGold has suffered a sharp reversal since the US-Israeli war against Iran began on February 28, with bullion prices falling nearly a quarter despite heightened geopolitical uncertainty. Specifically, spot gold was trading at $5,378 per…
US: Iran's Plans to Attack Americans in 'Advanced Stages"Newser · 3 days agoThe State Department is reducing staffing at four US embassies in the Middle East after receiving intel that Iran has stepped up efforts to target American personnel in the region... US: Iran's Plans to Attack Americans in 'Advanced…
Dow Plunges 652 Points After Crude Oil Tops $100 on Renewed US-Iran War FearsBigGo Finance · 3 days agoNew York stocks closed lower on Friday, October 23, 2026, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbling 652.82 points, or 1.23%, to close at 52,215.16, as the previous session's technology selloff spread broadly across other sectors…
FTSE 100 Closes At 10,733 As US-Iran Compromise Reports Pull Oil Back From Five-Month Highforeignpolicyjournal.com · 26 h agoBy Ewan Scott | Oct 26, 2026 | Economy & Business, Featured, News & Analysis, UK London’s blue-chip index fell for a second consecutive session on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, closing at 10,733.00, down 31.69 points or 0.29% from Monday’s…
As US-Iran talks stall, Pezeshkian heads to Moscow for Putin meetingMathrubhumi English · 3 days agoIranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is set to meet Vladimir Putin in Moscow next week as the two countries discuss economic cooperation and the conflict involving Iran, the US and Israel. The meeting is expected alongside a summit of…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
