US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
67%October 22
- October 2267%▼ 2
- October 2467%▼ 3
- October 2867%▼ 2
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Install
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
The odds
27%Rebeca Grynspan
- Rebeca Grynspan27%▼ 1
- Rafael Grossi19%
- Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett17%▲ 5
- María Fernanda Espinosa8%▼ 8
- Michelle Bachelet1%
- Macky Sall1%▼ 1
- Olara Otunnu1%
- Ivonne de Baki1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebeca Grynspan | 27% | ▼ 1 | 26¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | $33.9K |
| Rafael Grossi | 19% | 19¢ | 19¢ | $5.21 | $35.2K | |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 17% | ▲ 5 | 12¢ | 22¢ | $4.61 | $6K |
| María Fernanda Espinosa | 8% | ▼ 8 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.31 | $11.6K |
| Michelle Bachelet | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $41.67 | $12.4K | |
| Macky Sall | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $126K |
| Olara Otunnu | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $3.3K | |
| Ivonne de Baki | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $2.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: United Nations, Secretary-General, Rebeca Grynspan
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.