Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
PolymarketWorld › Middle EastCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $27.5K today · $931K traded · $183K at stake · prices read 5 min ago
The odds
1%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
1%
▼ 1
1¢
1¢
$71.43
$931K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Iran says it's prepared to go back to war amid threat from the U.S. and IsraelNPR · 24 h ago?Iran is preparing for a potential attack from the U.S. and Israel after the midterms. Iran says it's prepared to go back to war amid threat from the U.S. and Israel ?Iran is preparing for a potential attack from the U.S. and Israel after…
Iranians fear possible return to all-out war as US and Israeli elections approachPOLITICO · 31 h agoSome civilians are preparing to evacuate Tehran. People look at a billboard installation featuring an actor portraying President Donald Trump behind bars as the screen shows portraits of some school boys who were killed when their school…
Israel warns Iran with massive military drill as expert flags risk of accidental warFox News · 35 h agoIsraeli national security expert warns a single missile launch could spark rapid escalation amid major military drill. Israel warns Iran with massive military drill as expert flags risk of accidental war Israeli national security expert…
Latest news on the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran — stories, videos, latest coverageCBS News · 43 h agoPresident Trump said Iran was trying to drive up oil prices before the midterms by lying about ships hitting mines or being struck by projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz. Experts tell CBS News geography, interceptor shortages and evolving…
How the Iran war is influencing voters in the U.S. and IsraelNPR · 44 h agoNPR's Ayesha Rascoe speaks with Middle East Institute senior fellow Natan Sachs about striking Iran, developments in the West Bank, and elections in Israel and the U.S. How the Iran war is influencing voters in the U.S. and Israel NPR's…
WHAT ISRAEL WANTS FROM IRANActivist Post · 34 h agoOn New Year’s Eve 2023, Christina Block’s two youngest children, aged ten and thirteen, stood with their father near the harbour in Gråsten, a Danish town close to the German border. Masked men attacked their father, forced the children…
Katz: Israel never planned pre-election strike on IranIsrael National News · 25 h agoDefense Minister Israel Katz on Monday morning rejected reports of disagreements between Israel's political leadership and the IDF over policy toward Iran, stressing that Israel had not planned to launch a preemptive attack against the…
Netanyahu says Iran may attack ahead of Israel election@seniornewspaper · 25 h agoIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeated his warning that Iran or its proxies could attack ahead of this week's close elections to disrupt the vote. "The (military) is ready both to defend and to strike," he said in a video…
David Friedman on Trump, Iran and Israel's next strategic movesIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 22 h agoJNS provides comprehensive Israel and Jewish news coverage, features, and analysis to print and digital publications across the globe. âTALXâ with Alex Traiman is a JNS TV series where Alex Traiman, CEO and Jerusalem bureau chief of…
Netanyahu warns Iran against 'disrupting' Israeli electionsMiddle East Eye · 32 h agoIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu published a video on Sunday warning "Iran and its proxies" that they would "suffer blows out of all proportion" if they were to target Israel aiming to ... Netanyahu warns Iran against 'disrupting'…
The real difference in Israel’s election? Character.The Washington Post · 23 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Nadav Eyal is a senior…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions