New Hampshire Senate winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $5.6K today · $773K traded · $339K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

90%Chris Pappas
  • Chris Pappas90%▲ 1
  • John E. Sununu10%

How the odds have moved

Chris Pappas: 90% on Oct 20, 90% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Chris Pappas 90% ▲ 1 90¢ 90¢ $1.11 661.7K
John E. Sununu 10% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 1.7M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: New Hampshire Senate, Chris Pappas, John E. Sununu

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  • WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris joins Chris Pappas for campaign rally in Portsmouth, NHFox Business · 24 h agoFormer Vice President Kamala Harris campaigns alongside Democratic Senate nominee Chris Pappas at a rally in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris joins Chris Pappas for campaign rally in Portsmouth, NH Former Vice President…
  • The Sununu Dynasty Faces Biggest Test in New Hampshire Senate RaceNewsweek · 4 days agoOct 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Oct 21, 2026 at 07:04 AM EDT New Hampshire’s Senate race will test the power of the Sununu name as former Senator John Sununu hopes to boost Republicans in midterm elections that will likely prove complicated…
  • Fmr. VP Kamala Harris Rallies with NH Candidates Stefany Shaheen, Chris Pappas and Cinde WarmingtonInDepthNH.org · 17 h agoDemocratic candidates Stefany Shaheen, Chris Pappas, Vice President Kamala Harris and candidate Cinde Warmington are pictured at a calling center in Manchester on Saturday. Fmr. Vice President Kamala Harris visits a phone bank with…
  • Pappas Eyes History In Tight New Hampshire Senate Fightenmnews.com · 3 days agoChris Pappas is on track to put New Hampshire at the center of a possible Senate milestone. If elected, the Democratic nominee would become the first openly gay man to serve in the chamber. For Pappas, though, that distinction is not the…
  • NYT Spotlights Chris Pappas: Greek-American Could Make History in U.S. Senate RaceThe National Herald · 46 h agoIn an October 22 profile published in The New York Times, reporter Jess Bidgood examined the 46-year-old Democrat’s approach to a potentially groundbreaking election, highlighting his political career, his family’s longstanding ties to New…
  • Supreme Court says New Hampshire student IDs can’t be used to vote in NovemberNBC News · 3 days agoWASHINGTON — In a win for Republicans, the Supreme Court on Thursday said that student IDs cannot be used in New Hampshire for the midterm elections. The justices granted an emergency request filed by the state, which had the backing of…
  • Sununu Adds Biz Endorsements, Hits ‘California Chris’ Pappas on TaxesNH Journal · 5 days agoTwo more business organizations endorsed U.S. Senate candidate John Sununu over Rep. Chris Pappas on Tuesday, and the New Hampshire Republican said the reason why can be seen in how the two candidates spend their weekends. “He’s…
  • Trump And Whatley Unload On CooperThe Rhino Times of Greensboro · 4 days agoPosted by Scott D. Yost | Oct 21, 2026 | Featured Article President Donald Trump and Republican US Senate candidate Michael Whatley delivered a barrage of accusations against former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper on Tuesday night, Oct. 20…
  • Cancellation leaves just one more debate in competitive N.H. race for US SenateBostonGlobe.com · 47 h agoOne of the last two opportunities for New Hampshire voters to hear the Republican and Democratic nominees debate live on the same stage in the final days of their competitive US Senate race has been canceled. New Hampshire Public Radio…
  • Over Easy: A prolonged scary seasonValley News · 21 h agoOctober is National Scary Month, now that Halloween has morphed into something much longer. Ogres, grim reapers and ghouls gather on neighborhood lawns. Mechanized horribles are for sale at Home Depot. A 12-foot-tall skeleton with piercing…
  • Pappas Leads Sununu in Senate RacePolitical Wire · 3 days agoA new Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll finds Chris Pappas (D) leading John E. Sununu (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 43%. Try Political Wire free for 60 days Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the Polling…
  • GOP Scores Voter ID in New Hampshire.townhall.com · 46 h agoWell, it’s not a nationwide or widespread voter-integrity win, but I’ll take it: the Supreme Court ruled that student IDs aren't acceptable forms of identification for voting. The Republican National Committee filed an emergency request…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions