Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
90%
88¢
92¢
$1.09
103
Republican party
10%
8¢
12¢
$8.33
860
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Opinion | Could Democrats really lose the New Hampshire Senate race?BostonGlobe.com · 26 h agoSo what’s going on in New Hampshire? How is it that a state that rejected Trump three times could now elect a Republican to the Senate at a time when voter sentiment across the country heavily favors Democrats? The best example is Zohran…
Pappas Leads Sununu in New Hampshire Senate RacePolitical Wire · 4 days agoPolitical Wire Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 191 A new NPA Polling poll in New Hampshire finds Chris Pappas (D) leading John E. Sununu (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 43%. “Separate but equal” was the infamous justification for…
New Hampshire Senate Race Tests Sununu’s Appeal in Trump Era@BGOV · 4 days agoBloomberg Government News Ron Klein was all set. That’s what the 83-year-old declared after opening his front door one breezy afternoon in Bedford, N.H., this month, and finding a Republican canvasser eager to lock down his vote in the…
LCV Victory Fund Launches $1.4 Million in Programming in New Hampshire Senate RaceLCV Victory Fund · 3 days agoWashington, D.C.– Today, LCV Victory Fund launched $1.4 million in digital ads and mail in New Hampshire’s Senate race focused on former Senator John Sununu. This ad will run on CTV and YouTube through October 26. Paid for by LCV Victory…
RNC Statement on New Hampshire Senate DebateGOP · 5 days agoMAKE A PLAN TO VOTE >> Do-nothing Democrat Chris Pappas showed his true colors in today's debate - parroting national Democrat talking points and proving once again that he'll be nothing but a rubber stamp. “Puppet Pappas is getting ready…
In New Hampshire Senate race, was Chris Pappas dishonest about his links to Amazon?PolitiFact · 5 days agoNew Hampshire U.S. Senate candidate Chris Pappas “lied about dating an Amazon lobbyist, then voted on bills Amazon lobbied on.” An ad targeting Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Chris Pappas resurrects a line of attack from six years ago…
A growing number of prominent Republicans are endorsing Democrats in 2026CNN · 4 days agoIn 2010, Ken Buck rode the tea party wave to win Colorado’s Republican Senate nomination but proved too conservative for the state’s general-election voters. In 2022, Don Bolduc rode a similar arc in the New Hampshire Senate race as an…
Lobbying group dumped cash on NH GOP senators after they gutted data center billGranite Post News · 3 days agoEvery NH GOP senator voted in January to strip noise limits and power checks from a data center bill. A construction lobby’s political action committee has since sent $24,700 to 12 of them. All 16 Republicans in the New Hampshire Senate…
THIS WEEK IN CLIMATE ACTION - OCTOBER 16, 2026League of Conservation Voters · 3 days agoYour weekly resource to learn what the environmental movement is saying about the news of the day and the political fight of our generation. This week, communities across the country are raising the alarm about data centers. The Trump…
Prominent Republicans Are Endorsing Democrats in 2026Political Wire · 4 days agoJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 191 CNN: “In 2010, Ken Buck rode the tea party wave to win Colorado’s Republican Senate nomination but proved too conservative for the state’s general-election voters.” “In 2022, Don Bolduc rode a similar…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.