What will Trump say this week? (Before Nov 2, 2026)
KalshiMentions › PoliticiansCloses Mon 10:00 AM ET · $30.3K today · $37.7K traded · $34.7K at stake · prices read 3 min ago
The odds
100%Melania
Melania100%▲ 19
Bibi / Netanyahu100%▲ 17
Ceasefire100%
Vivek / Ramaswamy99%▲ 1
Ethanol76%▲ 17
Refinery67%▼ 7
Houthi61%▲ 7
Mortgage58%▼ 9
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice54%▼ 4
Third Term48%▼ 2
Autopen / Auto Pen42%▼ 11
Zohran / Mamdani30%▼ 6
12 more
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security25%▼ 10
Tomahawk25%▲ 6
Antifa23%▼ 5
Epstein17%▲ 5
Crypto / Bitcoin16%▼ 13
Uranium14%▲ 6
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis12%▼ 2
Golden Dome12%▲ 5
UFO / UAP8%▼ 3
Prediction Market / Predictive Market6%▼ 1
Peace in the Middle East6%▼ 2
Make Iran Great Again3%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Melania: 83% on Oct 27, 100% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Melania
100%
▲ 19
99¢
1.3K
Bibi / Netanyahu
100%
▲ 17
99¢
473
Ceasefire
100%
99¢
2.3K
✓ Dividend / Stimulus
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
2.3K
✓ Blockade
99%
▲ 9
$1.01
930
✓ Ilhan / Omar
99%
$1.01
596
✓ Moon
99%
▲ 28
$1.01
2.6K
✓ Canada / Canadian
99%
▲ 4
$1.01
1.0K
✓ Diesel
99%
▲ 7
$1.01
4.0K
✓ Nobel
99%
▲ 21
$1.01
993
✓ Cuba / Cuban
99%
▲ 42
$1.01
12.8K
✓ Soleimani
99%
▲ 59
$1.01
4.5K
Vivek / Ramaswamy
99%
▲ 1
98¢
99¢
$1.01
470
✓ Superintelligence / Super Intelligence
98%
$1.02
182
✓ Rigged Election / Stolen Election
98%
▲ 21
$1.02
784
Ethanol
76%
▲ 17
71¢
81¢
$1.23
568
Refinery
67%
▼ 7
62¢
71¢
$1.41
256
Houthi
61%
▲ 7
57¢
65¢
$1.54
234
Mortgage
58%
▼ 9
61¢
74¢
$1.35
91.00
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
54%
▼ 4
45¢
56¢
$1.79
188
Third Term
48%
▼ 2
43¢
52¢
$1.92
981
Autopen / Auto Pen
42%
▼ 11
37¢
46¢
$2.17
508
Zohran / Mamdani
30%
▼ 6
29¢
30¢
$3.33
504
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security
25%
▼ 10
22¢
28¢
$3.57
484
Tomahawk
25%
▲ 6
21¢
28¢
$3.57
405
Antifa
23%
▼ 5
20¢
25¢
$4.00
405
Epstein
17%
▲ 5
16¢
18¢
$5.56
956
Crypto / Bitcoin
16%
▼ 13
14¢
17¢
$5.88
584
Uranium
14%
▲ 6
10¢
17¢
$5.88
2.3K
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
12%
▼ 2
11¢
13¢
$7.69
351
Golden Dome
12%
▲ 5
7¢
17¢
$5.88
151
UFO / UAP
8%
▼ 3
7¢
9¢
$11.11
352
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
6%
▼ 1
5¢
7¢
$14.29
727
Peace in the Middle East
6%
▼ 2
5¢
6¢
$16.67
4.2K
Make Iran Great Again
3%
▼ 2
2¢
3¢
$33.33
331
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions