Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Biden
72%
67¢
76¢
$1.32
26.00
Democrat
64%
59¢
68¢
$1.47
2.6K
Fraud
61%
60¢
61¢
$1.64
20.00
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
61%
56¢
65¢
$1.54
69.00
Midterm
60%
57¢
63¢
$1.59
349
Inflation
50%
48¢
52¢
$1.92
49.00
Iran / Iranian
45%
41¢
49¢
$2.04
2.3K
Israel / Israeli
45%
23¢
34¢
$2.94
1.00
Trump (3+ times)
45%
41¢
48¢
$2.08
341
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
44%
41¢
47¢
$2.13
2.5K
America First
44%
42¢
46¢
$2.17
455
Medicare / Medicaid
42%
29¢
40¢
$2.50
1.00
Illegal Alien
39%
37¢
41¢
$2.44
6.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
30%
27¢
33¢
$3.03
38.00
Corrupt / Corruption
21%
19¢
22¢
$4.55
9.00
Ceasefire
16%
15¢
16¢
$6.25
1.00
Tariff
13%
12¢
13¢
$7.69
73.00
China / Chinese
10%
9¢
10¢
$10.00
4.00
Event does not qualify
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
116
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
JD Vance Controlled the Debate — Until the EndPOLITICO · 28 h agoThe Republican candidate was clearly better prepared. It’s a lesson for Democrats. Sen. JD Vance and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz shake hands at the 2024 vice presidential debate on Tuesday in New York. | Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO Jeff…
Vice President JD Vance’s Rally Gets Interrupted By Hecklers, Vance Quickly RespondsWLT Report · 13 h agoOnce again Democrats have made their way into Vice President JD Vance’s rally. On Monday, Vance was in Topeka, Kansas to campaign for Republican Senator Roger Marshall who will be facing off against Democrat Adam Hamilton in the midterm…
Rally attendees on JD Vance being in Topeka@wibw · 11 h agoTOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) -Kansans both in support and in protest of JD Vance being in Topeka spoke to 13 News Monday. “I’m just pretty passionate about this election, and let’s double the way the world’s going right now” said rally attendee…
Quizzes | Fox NewsFox News · 36 h agoTake the latest Fox News Digital Quiz to test your knowledge on children's personality Ms. Rachel, a heroic Kansas dog and more top headlines. The American Culture Quiz is a weekly test of our national traits, trends, history and people…
JD Vance blames tin-pot dictators for high gas prices, sparks Trump comparisonsIndia Today · 12 h agoUS Vice-President JD Vance’s attempt to explain soaring fuel prices has sparked an awkward question: was he indirectly describing President Donald Trump? While addressing a Republican midterm rally in Montana on Monday, Vance blamed global…
Vice President JD Vance takes the stage at HME, Inc. in Topeka@wibw · 16 h agoTOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) - Vice President JD Vance is in the Capital City today. Vance’s visit comes after President Donald Trump’s rally in Park City in support of Marshall (R), who’s up against Adam Hamilton (D) in the race for the Senate…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
