Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Border
90%
85¢
95¢
$1.05
873
Biden
84%
81¢
86¢
$1.16
393
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime
80%
77¢
82¢
$1.22
227
Social Security
76%
73¢
79¢
$1.27
74.00
Fraud
72%
71¢
73¢
$1.37
580
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
67%
66¢
67¢
$1.49
983
Working Class / Middle Class
63%
60¢
66¢
$1.52
281
Steel
62%
60¢
64¢
$1.56
198
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
59%
58¢
59¢
$1.69
416
American Dream
56%
54¢
57¢
$1.75
639
2028 / Campaign
53%
52¢
54¢
$1.85
365
Manufacture / Manufacturing
53%
49¢
57¢
$1.75
1.1K
Midterm
52%
51¢
53¢
$1.89
846
Auto Worker / Autoworker
52%
49¢
55¢
$1.82
3.3K
America First
51%
48¢
54¢
$1.85
530
Economy / Economic
43%
39¢
47¢
$2.13
503
Illegal Alien
40%
39¢
40¢
$2.50
60.00
Inflation
34%
31¢
37¢
$2.70
110
Healthcare
26%
23¢
28¢
$3.57
174
Canada / Canadian
23%
10¢
24¢
$4.17
259
Nuclear
20%
16¢
24¢
$4.17
379
Ford / General Motors / GM
19%
14¢
24¢
$4.17
525
China / Chinese
15%
10¢
20¢
$5.00
361
Made in America / American Made
14%
13¢
15¢
$6.67
2.6K
Tariff
12%
11¢
13¢
$7.69
205
Fake News
12%
7¢
16¢
$6.25
513
Electric Vehicle / EV
9%
4¢
14¢
$7.14
418
AI / Artificial Intelligence
9%
5¢
12¢
$8.33
699
Small Business
6%
5¢
6¢
$16.67
916
Event does not qualify
1%
1¢
$100.00
766
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
JD Vance Controlled the Debate — Until the EndPOLITICO · 28 h agoThe Republican candidate was clearly better prepared. It’s a lesson for Democrats. Sen. JD Vance and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz shake hands at the 2024 vice presidential debate on Tuesday in New York. | Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO Jeff…
Rally attendees on JD Vance being in Topeka@wibw · 10 h agoTOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) -Kansans both in support and in protest of JD Vance being in Topeka spoke to 13 News Monday. “I’m just pretty passionate about this election, and let’s double the way the world’s going right now” said rally attendee…
Vice President JD Vance’s Rally Gets Interrupted By Hecklers, Vance Quickly RespondsWLT Report · 13 h agoOnce again Democrats have made their way into Vice President JD Vance’s rally. On Monday, Vance was in Topeka, Kansas to campaign for Republican Senator Roger Marshall who will be facing off against Democrat Adam Hamilton in the midterm…
LIVE: Vice President JD Vance to speak in Belgrade MondayKECI · 20 h agoVice President JD Vance is scheduled to speak at a rally in Belgrade today, prompting additional security preparations and coordination among federal, state and Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to hold a rally in Belgrade at 10:30…
Vice President JD Vance to hold midterm rally in Kinston@WITN · 19 h agoKINSTON, N.C. (WITN) - Vice President JD Vance is coming to Eastern Carolina this week for a midterm election rally. The Trump 47 Committee announced that Vance will be in Kinston on Wednesday. Details about where the rally will be held…
Vice President JD Vance takes the stage at HME, Inc. in Topeka@wibw · 16 h agoTOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) - Vice President JD Vance is in the Capital City today. Vance’s visit comes after President Donald Trump’s rally in Park City in support of Marshall (R), who’s up against Adam Hamilton (D) in the race for the Senate…
People line up at HME for JD Vance's visit to Topeka@wibw · 19 h agoPeople line up at HME for JD Vance's visit to Topeka Author, non-profit founder brings home new book, gives back to local school New Fall Festival of Light to debut at Old Prairie Town tonight IHRA puts Heartland Motorsports Park up for…
JD Vance blames tin-pot dictators for high gas prices, sparks Trump comparisonsIndia Today · 11 h agoUS Vice-President JD Vance’s attempt to explain soaring fuel prices has sparked an awkward question: was he indirectly describing President Donald Trump? While addressing a Republican midterm rally in Montana on Monday, Vance blamed global…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
