Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Save America Act
95%
▲ 7
94¢
95¢
$1.05
199
Tariff (3+ times)
92%
89¢
95¢
$1.05
109
America First
88%
▲ 9
85¢
90¢
$1.11
920
Nuclear (3+ times)
87%
▲ 11
83¢
91¢
$1.10
50.00
Iran (5+ times)
87%
▲ 14
73¢
87¢
$1.15
46.00
China / Chinese
86%
83¢
89¢
$1.12
52.00
Steel
84%
▲ 23
81¢
86¢
$1.16
1.5K
Canada / Canadian
78%
▲ 5
67¢
78¢
$1.28
91.00
Hormuz
78%
75¢
80¢
$1.25
486
Made in America / American Made
77%
66¢
77¢
$1.30
157
Ethanol
75%
▲ 8
72¢
78¢
$1.28
1.4K
Supreme Court
68%
▼ 4
68¢
79¢
$1.27
62.00
Small Business
64%
62¢
65¢
$1.54
2.0K
Kamala
63%
▲ 5
63¢
74¢
$1.35
253
Russia / Ukraine
62%
▼ 1
57¢
66¢
$1.52
62.00
Gulf of America
52%
51¢
65¢
$1.54
48.00
ICE
50%
57¢
69¢
$1.45
119
Corn
45%
44¢
45¢
$2.22
546
Israel / Israeli
45%
▲ 1
42¢
47¢
$2.13
118
Space Force
36%
▲ 13
22¢
36¢
$2.78
55.00
Fraud (3+ times)
34%
▲ 11
31¢
37¢
$2.70
2.9K
Blockade
33%
▼ 17
30¢
36¢
$2.78
1.1K
Veteran
33%
31¢
44¢
$2.27
47.00
Deport / Deported / Deportation
31%
26¢
35¢
$2.86
454
Greenland
29%
25¢
33¢
$3.03
13.00
Cattle
27%
26¢
28¢
$3.57
799
Data Center
22%
18¢
26¢
$3.85
325
Electricity
17%
▲ 4
15¢
19¢
$5.26
210
AI / Artificial Intelligence
16%
15¢
16¢
$6.25
541
Ceasefire
15%
▼ 5
3¢
14¢
$7.14
20.00
Fentanyl
14%
12¢
17¢
$5.88
388
Elon / Musk
14%
▼ 10
11¢
16¢
$6.25
19.00
Social Security (5+ times)
14%
▼ 11
13¢
14¢
$7.14
1.1K
Windmill
14%
9¢
18¢
$5.56
18.00
Peace in the Middle East
8%
4¢
11¢
$9.09
72.00
Palestine / Palestinian
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
9.00
Trump Account
6%
5¢
6¢
$16.67
2.0K
Event does not qualify
3%
▲ 1
2¢
4¢
$25.00
270
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
2.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions