What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?
KalshiMentions › PoliticiansCloses Nov 12 · $9.2K today · $9.5K traded · $8.4K at stake · prices read 24 min ago
The odds
96%Save America Act
Save America Act96%▲ 10
China / Chinese84%▲ 7
Canada / Canadian84%▲ 21
America First83%▲ 18
Nuclear (3+ times)82%
Made in America / American Made75%
Tariff (3+ times)72%▼ 8
Kamala71%
Small Business68%
Iran (5+ times)66%
Russia / Ukraine62%▼ 3
Hormuz60%▼ 10
26 more
Supreme Court56%▼ 7
ICE56%▲ 11
Gulf of America54%▼ 21
Steel52%▼ 8
Blockade49%
Veteran42%
Israel / Israeli41%▲ 1
Space Force30%▲ 1
Hurricane29%▲ 6
Fraud (3+ times)28%▼ 9
Data Center28%▲ 6
Greenland26%▼ 7
Social Security (5+ times)26%▼ 5
Electricity24%▲ 13
Deport / Deported / Deportation20%
Ceasefire20%
Elon / Musk19%▼ 1
Trump Account17%
AI / Artificial Intelligence16%▼ 5
Windmill15%▼ 14
FEMA14%▲ 2
Fentanyl14%
Palestine / Palestinian9%▼ 12
Peace in the Middle East3%▲ 1
Event does not qualify2%▲ 1
Crypto / Bitcoin2%
How the odds have moved
Save America Act: 96% on Oct 28, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Save America Act
96%
▲ 10
94¢
97¢
$1.03
771
China / Chinese
84%
▲ 7
80¢
88¢
$1.14
66.00
Canada / Canadian
84%
▲ 21
64¢
76¢
$1.32
81.00
America First
83%
▲ 18
81¢
84¢
$1.19
788
Nuclear (3+ times)
82%
79¢
84¢
$1.19
53.00
Made in America / American Made
75%
72¢
77¢
$1.30
1.1K
Tariff (3+ times)
72%
▼ 8
68¢
76¢
$1.32
70.00
Kamala
71%
69¢
72¢
$1.39
1.2K
Small Business
68%
49¢
64¢
$1.56
30.00
Iran (5+ times)
66%
61¢
70¢
$1.43
78.00
Russia / Ukraine
62%
▼ 3
57¢
66¢
$1.52
29.00
Hormuz
60%
▼ 10
55¢
65¢
$1.54
84.00
Supreme Court
56%
▼ 7
54¢
59¢
$1.69
119
ICE
56%
▲ 11
54¢
59¢
$1.69
830
Gulf of America
54%
▼ 21
52¢
55¢
$1.82
1.9K
Steel
52%
▼ 8
40¢
54¢
$1.85
31.00
Blockade
49%
47¢
51¢
$1.96
1.6K
Veteran
42%
29¢
41¢
$2.44
20.00
Israel / Israeli
41%
▲ 1
37¢
44¢
$2.27
103
Space Force
30%
▲ 1
26¢
33¢
$3.03
130
Hurricane
29%
▲ 6
25¢
33¢
$3.03
318
Fraud (3+ times)
28%
▼ 9
24¢
33¢
$3.03
3.2K
Data Center
28%
▲ 6
27¢
30¢
$3.33
1.1K
Greenland
26%
▼ 7
27¢
41¢
$2.44
46.00
Social Security (5+ times)
26%
▼ 5
5¢
17¢
$5.88
44.00
Electricity
24%
▲ 13
23¢
24¢
$4.17
410
Deport / Deported / Deportation
20%
19¢
21¢
$4.76
6.8K
Ceasefire
20%
8¢
19¢
$5.26
65.00
Elon / Musk
19%
▼ 1
17¢
21¢
$4.76
129
Trump Account
17%
15¢
19¢
$5.26
1.7K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
16%
▼ 5
15¢
17¢
$5.88
392
Windmill
15%
▼ 14
13¢
17¢
$5.88
88.00
FEMA
14%
▲ 2
11¢
18¢
$5.56
369
Fentanyl
14%
12¢
16¢
$6.25
2.6K
Palestine / Palestinian
9%
▼ 12
4¢
13¢
$7.69
41.00
Peace in the Middle East
3%
▲ 1
2¢
4¢
$25.00
329
Event does not qualify
2%
▲ 1
1¢
3¢
$33.33
498
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
1.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
South Carolina’s measles outbreak jumped to Washington state 5 times in 2 weeksArs Technica · 8 h agoInternational travel used to be the main risk of measles cases in the US—not anymore. In a study published this week in NEJM Evidence, Washington state health officials highlight that risk, detailing how an explosive outbreak in South…
COMMENTARY: Does losing to South Carolina end Tennessee’s season?Yahoo Sports · 17 h agoKNOXVILLE, Tenn. – Since its expansion to 12 teams in 2024, the College Football Playoff has not featured a team that finished with less than 10 wins. Therefore, for the Tennessee Volunteers to qualify for the CFP, they would likely have…
South Carolina's U.S. Senate race turns tight in the final stretch@WFAE · 6 h agoSouth Carolina has long been reliably Republican territory. But with Election Day approaching, the state's U.S. Senate race has become much tighter than many expected. Republican Sen. Darline Graham was appointed this summer to fill the…
Ex-South Carolina governors endorse Democrat Annie Andrews in Senate racethe Guardian · 33 h agoRepublican and Democrat come together for a rare joint endorsement of candidate in unexpected competitive race Two South Carolina former governors, David Beasley and Jim Hodges, a Republican and Democrat respectively, have come together…
Oklahoma, South Carolina chase momentum with SEC stretch run approachingDeadspin · 9 h agoOklahoma and South Carolina are on a mission to build momentum when they face off Saturday in Norman, Okla. The Gamecocks are coming off back-to-back wins over ranked opponents, beating Florida and Tennessee. After beating Tennessee 27-24…
Family mourns Rock Hill father killed in hit-and-runWSOC TV · 26 h agoROCK HILL, S.C. — A Rock Hill family is grieving after police say a driver ran a stop sign, hit a man on a motorcycle, and then ran from the scene. Officers say they quickly caught him, but for loved ones, nothing can undo the loss of…
South Carolina 2027 QB commit suffers season-ending injurySaturday Down South · 15 h agoThe South Carolina Gamecocks have picked up wins over top 16 teams each of the last two times they’ve taken the field. Their victories may have been enough to save Shane Beamer’s job. Unfortunately, not everything around the program is…
South Carolina rep. who ran for Senate says he won't campaign for Darline GrahamWPDE · 12 h agoPresident Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Corpus Christi, Texas. WASHINGTON (TNND) — South Carolina GOP Rep. Ralph Norman said that he would not campaign for Sen. Darline Graham for the upcoming midterms. Darline Graham was…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions