Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 11 PM ET12% → 39%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
39%
▲ 3
30¢
48¢
$2.08
$5.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
People of Israel hopeful that it will be in the next KnessetIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 16 h agoSeveral hundred supporters gathered at Jerusalem’s Cinema City for a rally supporting People of Israel (Amcha Yisrael) just 36 hours before polls open in Israel. Large purple balloons, the party’s signature color, and large Israeli flags…
Rabbis release special prayer ahead of Israel's Knesset electionsIsrael National News · 20 h agoTzohar Rabbinical Organization releases a special prayer for Israel's elections, emphasizing national unity, shared responsibility, and mutual respect. Ahead of Tuesday's elections for the Knesset, the Tzohar Rabbinical Organization has…
Bennett-Lapid list pitches unity ahead of Knesset electionIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 44 h agoFormer Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad party told JNS on Sunday that it is optimistic about this week’s Knesset election, “in part because we know the people of Israel are the best in the world.” The campaign said the Jewish…
Israeli Knesset Electionsc-span.org · 42 h agoFor the 2026 Israeli elections, what is the "political landscape?" Detail the various parties, leaders, and blocs that are discussed by Mayer. Your gift supports C-SPAN’s mission to provide unedited, unfiltered coverage of government. Make…
From Gaza battlefield to Knesset: Elisha Medan's plea for unityIsrael National News · 37 h agoElisha Medan, who lost both legs fighting in Gaza, calls for a broad coalition and says he is ready to compromise to unite Israel's Zionist camps. From Gaza battlefield to Knesset: Elisha Medan's plea for unity
Faded Netanyahu Trails Behind Rival Eisenkot in Israel Knesset Pollsdeccanchronicle.com · 47 h agoDimona: In the remote Negev Desert town of Dimona, long a bastion of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, disenchanted voters are going door-to-door campaigning for his top rival Gadi Eisenkot, hoping to bring down the veteran prime minister…
SEE THE VIDEO: Shas MK Tears Up Coalition Agreement at Knesset Podium@YWN · 46 h agoMK Michael Malkieli (Shas) gave his first speech as an opposition member in the Knesset. During the very combative speech, Malkieli referred to the newly appointed Prime Minister Naftali Bennett as “the Con Man from Ra’anana”, and Avigdor…
Israel’s next Knesset must give women real influence - opinionThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 18 h agoWe often tell women who choose to enter politics that they are courageous, and rightly so. We should also consider the moment when a woman decides she wants to make decisions and take responsibility, even at the cost of hostile headlines…
Israel Police brace for 'January 6' scenario at Knesset after electionThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 24 h agoOne day before the elections for the 26th Knesset, police are preparing for the possibility of clashes and public order disruptions on Election Day, particularly in the hours following the release of exit polls. A senior police official…
Knesset election will prove pivotal to future US-Israel relationshipThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 14 h agoThe upcoming election in Israel will likely prove pivotal in determining whether the ongoing erosion in support for Israel in the United States devolves further into a full rupture that makes both Americans and Israelis less secure. As…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
