Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
6%
5¢
7¢
$14.29
$126K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
US blockade in Strait of Hormuz traps $4.5B in Iranian oilFox News · 4 days agoTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent details how a U.S. blockade in the Strait of Hormuz has trapped vessels carrying $4.5 billion in Iranian oil. US blockade in Strait of Hormuz traps $4.5B in Iranian oil Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent…
CENTCOM chief declares: Strait of Hormuz is free from Iranian minesIsrael National News · 34 h agoThe commander of US Central Command (CENTCOM), Adm. Brad Cooper, visited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, as US forces reach the milestone of assisting Gulf partners in exporting more than 1.5 billion barrels of crude oil since summer…
CENTCOM chief visits Strait of Hormuz amid ‘milestone’ of crude oil exportsIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 26 h agoAdm. Brad Cooper, commander of U.S. Central Command, visited the Strait of Hormuz on Oct. 25, the U.S. military said on Sunday. The visit came as American forces “reach the milestone of assisting Gulf partners in exporting more than 1.5…
US forces support transit of 3,000 ships through Strait of Hormuz — CENTCOMTASS · 29 h agoAccording to the command, US forces reached the milestone of assisting Gulf partners in exporting more than 1.5 billion barrels of crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz since summer - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics &…
CENTCOM Commander Visits Strait of Hormuz during Milestone WeekDVIDS · 46 h agoSTRAIT OF HORMUZ — The commander of U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) visited the Strait of Hormuz, Oct. 25, as U.S. forces reach the milestone of assisting Gulf partners in exporting more than 1.5 billion barrels of crude oil since summer…
Oil rises after attacks target vessels near Strait of HormuzEconomies.com · 2 days agoReviewed by Rami Haddad, Editor-in-Chief · Last update: 2026.07.07 Oil prices moved higher on Tuesday after reports of attacks on vessels near the Strait of Hormuz renewed concerns about potential disruptions to shipping through one of the…
Iran warns Strait of Hormuz will never return to previous arrangementsSaudi Gazette · 2 days agoTEHRAN — Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz would no longer operate under its previous arrangements following the war with the United States and Israel, warning that the conflict had fundamentally…
CENTCOM's Commander Conducts an Inspection Flight in Strait of HormuzThe Maritime Executive · 42 h agoBy The Maritime Executive 2026-10-25 16:33:41 In a demonstration of confidence in the control Central Command exercises over the Strait of Hormuz, Commander CENTCOM Admiral Brad Cooper has made a low-flying tour of the Strait of Hormuz in…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions