Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $282 today · $35.4K traded · $4.4K at stake · prices read 80 min ago

The odds

38%Tanoa Sasraku
  • Tanoa Sasraku38%
  • Simeon Barclay35%
  • Kira Freije23%
  • Marguerite Humeau4%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Tanoa Sasraku 38% 37¢ 38¢ $2.63 $10.7K
Simeon Barclay 35% 34¢ 35¢ $2.86 $5.3K
Kira Freije 23% 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 $12.5K
Marguerite Humeau 4% 3¢ 6¢ $17.54 $6.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Turner Prize, Tanoa Sasraku, Simeon Barclay

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Related markets

All awards ›
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine92%▲ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%
  • The Debut81%▼ 2
  • Project Hail Mary77%▼ 3
  • You Can See Everything71%▼ 3
  • The Invite58%▲ 1
  • Fjord39%
  • I Play Rocky39%▲ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Obsession34%
  • Elsinore25%▲ 1
  • Behemoth!21%▲ 1
  • Digger20%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth19%▲ 2
  • Michael13%
  • Disclosure Day8%▲ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%▼ 1
  • Fatherland4%
  • The Social Reckoning4%▼ 1
  • The Drama3%
Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

46%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey46%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball18%
  • You Can See Everything15%▼ 7
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Digger1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

85%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey85%
  • The Black Ball77%
  • Wild Horse Nine60%▲ 1
10 more
  • Dune: Part Three44%▼ 18
  • Project Hail Mary39%▲ 5
  • You Can See Everything37%▼ 4
  • Fjord31%▼ 1
  • Digger30%▲ 14
  • The Debut27%▼ 2
  • The Invite24%▼ 3
  • Ink21%
  • Club Kid18%▲ 7
  • Elsinore17%▼ 7
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

94%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey94%▲ 1
  • Disclosure Day72%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball70%▼ 5
10 more
  • Dune: Part Three64%▼ 6
  • Project Hail Mary59%▼ 1
  • Behemoth!31%▼ 16
  • Wild Horse Nine27%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything13%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth11%▲ 1
  • Whalefall7%▲ 2
  • The Social Reckoning6%
  • The Drama5%
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu3%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.