PolymarketCulture › AwardsCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $261 today · $44.6K traded · $6.8K at stake · prices read 45 min ago
The odds
46%The Black Ball
The Black Ball46%
The Invite21%▼ 3
The Odyssey20%
All of a Sudden5%▲ 2
Dune: Part Three5%▲ 5
Project Hail Mary2%
The Social Reckoning1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth1%
Ink1%
Saturn Return1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Toy Story 5<1%
3 more
Clarissa<1%
The Whisper Man<1%
Wildwood<1%
How the odds have moved
The Black Ball: 51% on Oct 20, 46% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
The Black Ball
46%
46¢
48¢
$2.08
$24.8K
The Invite
21%
▼ 3
20¢
25¢
$4.00
$6.8K
The Odyssey
20%
20¢
23¢
$4.35
$4.3K
All of a Sudden
5%
▲ 2
0¢
11¢
$9.35
$989
Dune: Part Three
5%
▲ 5
1¢
10¢
$10.10
$878
Project Hail Mary
2%
1¢
3¢
$30.30
$772
The Social Reckoning
1%
1¢
2¢
$43.48
$465
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
1%
0¢
2¢
$52.63
$754
Ink
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$1.8K
Saturn Return
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$542
Cry to Heaven
<1%
0¢
1¢
$421
Toy Story 5
<1%
0¢
1¢
$543
Clarissa
<1%
0¢
1¢
$382
The Whisper Man
<1%
0¢
1¢
$407
Wildwood
<1%
0¢
0¢
$793
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Dune: Part Three Is Launching a Best Actress Oscar Campaign for ZendayaTbreak Media UAE · 2 days agoZendaya is reportedly moving from supporting to lead for Chani, who has a much bigger role in Dune: Part Three. Zendaya will reportedly campaign in the Best Actress category for Dune: Part Three, a step up from the supporting slot she held…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
