The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31 · $698 today · $61.9K traded · $10.9K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

68%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI68%▲ 3
  • Control Resonant8%▼ 2
  • Pragmata7%▼ 1
  • Saros4%
  • The Blood of Dawnwalker4%
  • Resident Evil Requiem3%
  • 007 First Light3%
  • Titanium Court1%
  • Silent Hill: Townfall1%
  • Mina the Hollower<1%
  • Mixtape<1%
  • Marvel's Wolverine<1%
12 more
  • Crimson Desert<1%
  • Pokémon Pokopia<1%
  • Cairn<1%
  • Schrödinger's Call<1%
  • Esoteric Ebb<1%
  • The Duskbloods<1%
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword<1%
  • Mewgenics<1%
  • Forza Horizon 6<1%
  • Gears of War: E-Day<1%
  • OPUS: Prism Peak<1%
  • Reanimal<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Grand Theft Auto VI 68% ▲ 3 68¢ 77¢ $1.30 $31.5K
Control Resonant 8% ▼ 2 6¢ 11¢ $8.93 $4.4K
Pragmata 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 $6.2K
Saros 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.66 $2.2K
The Blood of Dawnwalker 4% 1¢ 8¢ $13.33 $1.4K
Resident Evil Requiem 3% 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 $2.9K
007 First Light 3% 1¢ 5¢ $21.74 $792
Titanium Court 1% 0¢ 2¢ $62.50 $436
Silent Hill: Townfall 1% 0¢ 1¢ $76.92 $531
Mina the Hollower <1% 0¢ 1¢ $403
Mixtape <1% 0¢ 0¢ $846
Marvel's Wolverine <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.4K
Crimson Desert <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.5K
Pokémon Pokopia <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.1K
Cairn <1% 0¢ 0¢ $559
Schrödinger's Call <1% 0¢ 0¢ $346
Esoteric Ebb <1% 0¢ 0¢ $435
The Duskbloods <1% 0¢ 0¢ $329
Onimusha: Way of the Sword <1% 0¢ 0¢ $417
Mewgenics <1% 0¢ 0¢ $452
Forza Horizon 6 <1% 0¢ 0¢ $374
Gears of War: E-Day <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.3K
OPUS: Prism Peak <1% 0¢ 0¢ $463
Reanimal <1% 0¢ 0¢ $716

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Game Awards: Best Game Direction (Best Game Direction | 2026)

68%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI68%▲ 3
  • Control Resonant11%▲ 3
  • Resident Evil Requiem5%▼ 2
  • Pragmata4%▼ 1
11 more
  • The Blood of Dawnwalker3%
  • Marvel's Wolverine3%
  • Mewgenics3%
  • Phantom Blade Zero2%
  • 007 First Light2%
  • Big Walk2%
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword2%
  • Forza Horizon 62%
  • Crimson Desert2%▼ 2
  • Saros1%
  • Tie<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $95 today · $1.5K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Best Game Direction, Grand Theft Auto VI, Control Resonant

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

45%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey45%
  • The Black Ball18%
  • You Can See Everything15%▼ 8
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Digger1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%
  • Project Hail Mary78%▼ 3
  • The Debut76%▼ 7
  • You Can See Everything71%▲ 5
  • The Invite59%
  • Fjord39%
  • I Play Rocky39%▲ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Obsession34%
  • Elsinore25%▼ 5
  • Digger20%▲ 1
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▲ 2
  • Behemoth!19%▼ 2
  • Michael13%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day8%
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%▼ 1
  • Fatherland5%▲ 1
  • The Social Reckoning4%▼ 1
  • The Drama3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

85%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey85%
  • The Black Ball77%
  • Wild Horse Nine60%
10 more
  • Dune: Part Three47%▼ 16
  • Project Hail Mary39%▲ 5
  • You Can See Everything36%▼ 4
  • Fjord31%▼ 3
  • The Debut27%▼ 14
  • The Invite26%▲ 5
  • Digger25%▲ 9
  • Club Kid21%
  • Ink21%
  • Elsinore18%▲ 1
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

94%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey94%▲ 1
  • Disclosure Day71%▲ 6
  • The Black Ball71%▲ 1
10 more
  • Dune: Part Three68%▼ 3
  • Project Hail Mary60%▲ 1
  • Behemoth!31%▼ 16
  • Wild Horse Nine27%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything13%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth11%▲ 1
  • Whalefall7%▲ 3
  • The Social Reckoning6%
  • The Drama5%
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

93%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon93%
  • John Malkovich87%▼ 1
  • Andrew Scott86%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise56%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • John Turturro43%▲ 1
  • Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
  • Anthony Ippolito28%▼ 9
  • Pedro Pascal19%▲ 1
  • Sebastian Stan17%
  • Jaafar Jackson17%
  • Timothée Chalamet10%▼ 12
  • Adam Driver6%▲ 1
  • Sam Rockwell5%
  • Brad Pitt5%
  • Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Robert Aramayo4%
  • Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.