The Game Awards: Game of the Year

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31 · $4.4K today · $106K traded · $18.8K at stake · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

83%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI83%▼ 1
  • Resident Evil Requiem8%▼ 1
  • Phantom Blade Zero6%▲ 2
  • Control Resonant1%
  • Pragmata1%
  • Crimson Desert<1%
  • 007 First Light<1%
  • Marvel's Wolverine<1%
  • Slay the Spire 2<1%
  • Esoteric Ebb<1%
  • Half-Life 3<1%
  • Fable<1%
12 more
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword<1%
  • The Duskbloods<1%
  • Marathon<1%
  • Nioh 3<1%
  • Forza Horizon 6<1%
  • Mouse: P.I. For Hire<1%
  • Saros<1%
  • Stranger Than Heaven<1%
  • Cairn<1%
  • Reanimal<1%
  • Exodus<1%
  • Gears of War: E-Day<1%

How the odds have moved

Grand Theft Auto VI: 79% on Oct 20, 83% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Grand Theft Auto VI 83% ▼ 1 83¢ 85¢ $1.18 $64.1K
Resident Evil Requiem 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 $12K
Phantom Blade Zero 6% ▲ 2 5¢ 7¢ $14.08 $3K
Control Resonant 1% 1¢ 2¢ $58.82 $2.2K
Pragmata 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $1.8K
Crimson Desert <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.9K
007 First Light <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.4K
Marvel's Wolverine <1% 0¢ 1¢ $2.1K
Slay the Spire 2 <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.6K
Esoteric Ebb <1% 0¢ $758
Half-Life 3 <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.1K
Fable <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1K
Onimusha: Way of the Sword <1% 0¢ $1.6K
The Duskbloods <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.2K
Marathon <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.1K
Nioh 3 <1% 0¢ 0¢ $957
Forza Horizon 6 <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.1K
Mouse: P.I. For Hire <1% 0¢ $772
Saros <1% 0¢ $711
Stranger Than Heaven <1% 0¢ $835
Cairn <1% 0¢ $805
Reanimal <1% 0¢ $769
Exodus <1% 0¢ $777
Gears of War: E-Day <1% 0¢ $786

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Grand Theft Auto VI, Resident Evil Requiem, Phantom Blade Zero

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All awards ›

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

50%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey50%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything25%▼ 3
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three6%▲ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything84%▲ 5
  • The Debut75%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary74%▼ 3
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial55%▼ 1
  • I Play Rocky53%▼ 5
  • All of a Sudden37%▼ 1
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession33%▼ 1
  • Elsinore32%▲ 2
  • Wildwood27%▲ 1
  • Digger23%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▲ 1
  • Club Kid21%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann17%▼ 1
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine9%▲ 3
  • Ink8%▲ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Misty Green4%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
  • Tony1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

90%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball90%▼ 1
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 569%▼ 11
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 14
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 240%▲ 16
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad37%▲ 3
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk32%▲ 3
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 21
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 5
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

90%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon90%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich88%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise60%▲ 11
  • Anthony Ippolito49%▲ 3
  • John Turturro46%▼ 2
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson35%▼ 9
  • Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
  • Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%
  • Sam Rockwell78%▲ 11
23 more
  • John Leguizamo59%▼ 11
  • Guitarricadelafuente55%▼ 17
  • Edward Norton48%▼ 9
  • Robert Pattinson30%
  • Steve Buscemi21%▼ 1
  • Colman Domingo18%▼ 7
  • Riz Ahmed18%
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Channing Tatum6%▲ 2
  • Miles Teller6%
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Guy Pearce6%
  • Himesh Patel5%▲ 1
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Jeremy Strong4%▼ 6
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 8
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland3%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 1
  • Digger74%▲ 12
8 more
  • Project Hail Mary69%▲ 6
  • Dune: Part Three62%▼ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility52%▲ 23
  • Werwulf44%▼ 2
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth28%▲ 9
  • Wuthering Heights18%▲ 2
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions