Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Polymarket World Closes Dec 31 · $998 today · $686K traded · $81.2K at stake · prices read 32 min ago

The odds

17%Japan

Japan17%▲ 2
Germany14%▲ 1
Portugal12%▲ 1
South Korea12%▲ 1
Saudi Arabia11%▼ 1
Israel9%▼ 1
Italy9%▲ 3
Syria8%
Venezuela7%
India7%▲ 1
Russia6%
Mexico6%

8 more

Oman6%
North Korea6%
Ukraine6%▼ 1
Belarus5%
Pakistan5%
Canada4%
Taiwan3%
Lebanon1%

How the odds have moved

Japan: 18% on Oct 20, 17% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
✓ United Kingdom	>99%	▲ 52	100¢	100¢		$35.2K
✓ France	>99%	▲ 1	100¢	100¢		$46.5K
✓ China	>99%		100¢	100¢		$122K
✓ Turkey	>99%		100¢	100¢		$52.3K
✓ Switzerland	>99%		100¢	100¢		$54.3K
✓ Ireland	>99%	▲ 1	100¢	100¢		$12.2K
Japan	17%	▲ 2	15¢	19¢	$5.26	$26K
Germany	14%	▲ 1	13¢	15¢	$6.67	$21.3K
Portugal	12%	▲ 1	3¢	20¢	$5.00	$151
South Korea	12%	▲ 1	6¢	17¢	$5.88	$17.4K
Saudi Arabia	11%	▼ 1	9¢	12¢	$8.33	$1.4K
Israel	9%	▼ 1	8¢	10¢	$10.00	$32.8K
Italy	9%	▲ 3	7¢	11¢	$9.09	$31K
Syria	8%		6¢	9¢	$11.11	$1.5K
Venezuela	7%		5¢	9¢	$11.11	$245
India	7%	▲ 1	5¢	8¢	$12.50	$15.4K
Russia	6%		5¢	8¢	$12.66	$13.5K
Mexico	6%		5¢	7¢	$14.29	$6.4K
Oman	6%		1¢	11¢	$8.85	$3.6K
North Korea	6%		5¢	7¢	$14.29	$46.9K
Ukraine	6%	▼ 1	4¢	8¢	$12.20	$7.9K
Belarus	5%		4¢	7¢	$14.49	$4.7K
Pakistan	5%		4¢	5¢	$20.00	$8.5K
Canada	4%		3¢	5¢	$21.74	$4.9K
Taiwan	3%		3¢	3¢	$30.30	$87.6K
Lebanon	1%		0¢	2¢	$52.63	$32.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$686K

Today$998

This week$3.2K

At stake$81.2K

In the news1,461 headlines today, 5,000 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions