Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
July 31
<1%
0¢
$193K
August 31
<1%
0¢
$60.1K
October 31
1%
1¢
1¢
$104K
December 31
10%
▼ 1
9¢
11¢
$9.09
$151K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
China calls on IAEA to back peaceful nuclear cooperation, diplomacy on Iran@ChinaDailyApp · 34 h agoChina has called for the International Atomic Energy Agency to work with all parties to oppose unilateralism and protectionism, protect access to peaceful nuclear technology and promote a diplomatic solution to hot spot issues. Speaking as…
IAEA Chief Forecasts Global Nuclear Power Demand to More than Triple by 2060world.kbs.co.kr · 3 days ago[Science] : The head of the International Atomic Energey Agency(IAEA) forecasts that global demand for nuclear power will more than triple by 2060, spurred by advancements in artificial intelligence(AI) and the construction of data…
Iran urges end to double standards in IAEA’s implementation of its statuteTehran Times · 4 days agoTEHRAN — Iran has called on the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to end the selective and politically motivated implementation of its founding statute, urging the organization to uphold its legal obligations impartially and ensure…
Iran slams IAEA for silence towards attacks on its sitesMehr News Agency · 4 days agoTEHRAN, Oct. 23 (MNA) – Iran’s mission to the Vienna-based UN organizations has criticized the IAEA's continued failure to condemn the US and Zionist regime's attacks on its nuclear facilities. The statement criticized the IAEA for…
Ilya Ben Rashid sentenced to death in Isfahan following January protestsHengaw · 5 days agoBranch Five of the Isfahan Revolutionary Court has sentenced Ilya Ben Rashid, a 22-year-old Arab protester arrested during the January 2026 protests, to death on charges of “waging war against God.” He had previously been sentenced to four…
West complies very selectively with IAEA’s nuclear safety pillars — diplomatTASS · 5 days agoA few days after Russia took the Zaporozhye NPP under its control, IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi outlined the seven pillars of nuclear safety and security during an armed conflict, Mikhail Ulyanov said - Russian Politics & Diplomacy…
IAEA Backs Major Cybersecurity Exercise in BrazilMirage News · 5 days agoBrazil put computer security for critical infrastructure to the test during 'Cyber Guardian', a large-scale national exercise supported by the IAEA featuring scenarios involving nuclear power plants, cancer treatment facilities and the…
IAEA says Barakah drone-strike response was effectiveWorld Nuclear News · 6 days agoThe International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said the mission "focused on plant response actions, national arrangements for emergency preparedness and response, lessons learned from the event, and the reactor operator's arrangements to…
IAEA Mission Helps Georgia Manage Disused Radioactive SourcesMirage News · 6 days agoThe first official mission conducted through the IAEA's new Radioactive Waste Management Advisory Service (RAD-WISE) has helped Georgia assess and strengthen its management of disused sealed radioactive sources (DSRS). Held in July 2026 in…
IAEA Finds UAE Kept Barakah Reactor Safe After Drone Strike Cut Off External PowerDevdiscourse · 6 days agoA drone strike that cut external power to Unit 3 of the UAE’s Barakah Nuclear Power Plant on 17 May 2026 put the country’s nuclear emergency arrangements to the test. An International Atomic Energy Agency mission has concluded that the…
Iran’s Secret IAEA Visits: What Nuclear Safeguards Law AllowsDiplomacy and Law · 7 days agoThat political rationale does not determine the status of an IAEA inspection. The Agency's responsibilities arise from its Statute, safeguards agreements, and relevant institutional decisions. A proposal negotiated by Iran, the United…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
