Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
10%
9¢
10¢
$10.00
$286K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran, UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal
BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikesFox News · 24 h agoIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as elections loom. BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as…
Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned attacks on AmericansFox News · 26 h agoFormer Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reacts to a memo about potential Iranian attacks on Americans, the reported threats to U.S. interests abroad and the American military presence in the region. Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned…
Trump backs Netanyahu as Iran tensions loom over Israeli electionFox News · 19 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on President Donald Trump's backing of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the Israeli election. Ret. USAF Brigadier Gen. John Teichert provides analysis on 'America…
British official says UK is ‘determined’ to harden defense against IranFox News · 13 h agoBritish Ambassador to the U.S. Christian Turner discusses the U.K.'s military readiness and defense strategy amid global tensions on ‘Special Report.’ ... British official says UK is ‘determined’ to harden defense against Iran British…
Iran steps up efforts to target Americans, unclassified memo warnsFox News · 23 h agoFox News senior strategic analyst Gen. Jack Keane joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss an unclassified memo detailing Iran's increased efforts to target U.S. citizens and analyzes potential military responses in the region. Iran steps up…
Walter Reed hospital visit highlights toll of Iran-backed roadside bombsFox News · 14 h agoTrump recounts a Walter Reed hospital visit with a severely injured soldier from New Jersey. The segment details the devastating impact of plastic roadside bombs in Iraq and points to Iran's role in manufacturing the weapons. Walter Reed…
Netanyahu reportedly pressured military to attack Iran in runup to electionthe Guardian · 19 h agoIsraeli prime minister increases alarmist rhetoric as his far-right coalition narrowly trails in polls Benjamin Netanyahu has resorted to increasingly alarmist rhetoric and reportedly put pressure on Israel’s military to take action…
Netanyahu reportedly sought to resume strikes against Iran before Israeli electionsFox News · 18 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's reported push to resume strikes against Iran on 'The Story.' ... Netanyahu reportedly sought to resume strikes against Iran before…
US intelligence memo warns Iran is ramping up threats against Americans abroadFox News · 11 h agoRet. Navy Capt. Brent Sadler and Israeli special ops veteran Aaron Cohen discuss a U.S. intelligence memo warning that Iran is ramping up efforts to target Americans abroad on 'Fox News @ Night.' ... US intelligence memo warns Iran is…
Bessent says Iran's economy is collapsing as Trump weighs next moveFox News · 22 h agoTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins Brian Kilmeade to discuss President Donald Trump's economic crackdown on Iran, mounting pressure on the Iranian regime, trade tensions with Canada and Mexico and the outlook for the U.S. economy…
Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's strategy on IranFox News · 29 h agoNational security policy analyst Andrew Harding joins 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss massive protests sweeping across Europe and Trump weighing his next steps regarding the Iran deal. Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's…
Fears grow for Iranian athletes on death row as mountaineer latest to be hangedthe Guardian · 5 h agoTwo sportspeople have been executed in the past month and at least six more face the same fate, says activist group Fears are growing for more Iranian athletes facing execution after mountain climber Ali-Sina Mostafavi became the latest in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
