Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
March 31, 2026
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$326K
June 30
<1%
▼ 1
1¢
$173K
October 31
<1%
0¢
$1K
December 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$50.7K
December 31
12%
▼ 1
11¢
12¢
$8.33
$128K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Netanyahu trails in polls ahead of first Israeli election since start of Gaza warCBS News · 25 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Netanyahu trails in…
Polls open in Israel as Netanyahu seeks reelectionNPR · 6 h agoPolls are open in Israel. Will voters re-elect Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu? NPR's Ruth Sherlock reports from a polling station. Polls open in Israel as Netanyahu seeks reelection Polls are open in Israel. Will voters re-elect Prime…
Netanyahu’s record takes center stage in Israel voteFox News · 20 h agoConservative Israeli commentator Gadi Taub discusses Netanyahu’s record, political staying power and the security challenges shaping Israel’s high-stakes election. Netanyahu’s record takes center stage in Israel vote Conservative Israeli…
Will Benjamin Netanyahu Win Israel Election? What Polls ShowNewsweek · 23 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 07:50 AM EDT Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will struggle to retain power, according to latest polling ahead of his first electoral test since the October 2023 Hamas-led attacks and the subsequent conflicts in…
He lost a son in Gaza. Now this former general could oust Netanyahu.NBC News · 21 h agoHis humble background starkly contrasts with Netanyahu’s polished and worldly one, and recent personal tragedy hangs over Eisenkot, who lost a son to the war in the Gaza Strip two months after the Oct ...
What does Israel's election mean for Gaza and the wider world?bbc.com · 5 h agoIsraelis are voting in what many view as one of the most pivotal elections in the country's history. Polling published on Friday suggests incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu is in a near neck-and-neck race with former military chief Gadi Eisenkot…
Israel’s Election Divides Immigrants Over Netanyahu and the FutureNewsweek · 21 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 10:03 AM EDT As Israel approaches an election in which neither major political bloc appears assured of a governing majority, immigrants who have made the country their home are expressing sharply different views about its…
Israeli election to test Benjamin Netanyahu's ability to hold powerCBS News · 17 h agoOn Tuesday, Israel will hold its first parliamentary elections since the Oct. 7, 2023, terror attacks. Essentially, one man is on the ballot: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. How might Israeli policy change if the opposition succeeds?…
Netanyahu Sounds ‘Emergency’ as Israel Election Turnout Highest in 50 YearsNewsweek · 2 h agoOct 27, 2026 at 07:59 AM EDT Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made an "emergency" call to his supporters in Israel to cast their ballots in a knife-edge election widely seen as one of the most important in the country's history…
Trump backs Netanyahu as Iran tensions loom over Israeli electionFox News · 20 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on President Donald Trump's backing of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the Israeli election. Ret. USAF Brigadier Gen. John Teichert provides analysis on 'America…
Live Updates: Israel Votes in Election Seen as Referendum on Netanyahu@nytimes · 10 h agoJerusalem7:21 a.m. Oct. 27 The election is Israel’s first since the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s far-right coalition faces opposition parties loosely led by a former military chief whose son was killed in the…
Breaking down how Israel's elections work as Netanyahu faces opposition threatCBS News · 16 h agoOn Tuesday, Israel will hold its first parliamentary elections since the Hamas terrorist attacks on Oct. 7, 2023. Israel has been on a war footing ever since. This election is in part a referendum on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions