Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Dec 31 · $5.6K today · $2M traded · $87.9K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

7%December 31
  • December 317%

How the odds have moved

December 31: 7% on Oct 20, 7% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
June 30 <1% 0¢ $1.7M
September 30 <1% 5¢ 45¢ $2.22
December 31 7% 7¢ 8¢ $13.16 $255K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Saudi Arabia, Mohammed, Salman

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  • Saudi Arabia and allies travel to Iran for talks on ending Houthi attacks, wider warNew York Post · 19 h agoTop officials from Saudi Arabia and allies Turkey and Pakistan were in ​Iran on Monday to negotiate an end to Houthi attacks — as well as the wider war. The talks represent the first, high-level contact between Tehran and the alliance that…
  • Dakar Cancels Saudi Arabia Rally, But Says The Event is Still OnYahoo Sports · 2 days agoThe Dakar Rally will not run in Saudi Arabia in 2027, with organizers moving the event to an as-yet-unnamed territory while keeping the January schedule intact. Amaury Sport Organisation (A.S.O.) and Saudi Motorsport Company (SMC)…
  • Iran hosts Saudi Arabia and regional powers as fears grow of return to warCNN · 25 h agoSaudi Arabia and its allies dispatched top security officials to Iran for talks on Monday amid fears of a fresh US-Israeli offensive that could plunge the Middle East into further instability. Pakistani military chief Asim Munir and…
  • Saudi Arabia says it intercepted missiles and drones from Iran-backed HouthisCNBC · 2 days agoSaudi Arabia intercepted drones and missiles headed for several cities, including the capital Riyadh, fired by Iran-aligned Houthis on Sunday, the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said. The ongoing fighting between Saudi Arabia and the…
  • 2027 Saudi Arabia Dakar race cancelled amid Middle East unrestYahoo Sports · 2 days agoThe FIA have confirmed that the Dakar Saudi Arabia 2027 will not take place as scheduled from 1 to 15 January 2027 amid ongoing conflict in the region. Earlier this week, the US State Department ordered non-essential diplomatic staff and…
  • Dakar Rally in Saudi Arabia next year cancelled due to Houthi attacksYahoo Sports · 2 days agoThe 2027 Dakar Rally has been cancelled in Saudi Arabia amid the tense situation caused by ongoing attacks by Houthi rebels, but it is set to held elsewhere. Organizers said in a statement on Sunday that the endurance race, originally…
  • Dakar Rally off-road race moved out of Saudi Arabiaespn.com · 3 days agoThe Dakar Rally, one of the world's toughest and best-known off-road races, has been moved out of Saudi Arabia next year after what organizers called "recent developments in the region." ...
  • Egypt Approves Defence Aid to Saudi ArabiaThe Rio Times · 22 h agoThe decision is a green light and not a deployment order. Egyptian forces would move only if Saudi Arabia asks and the president then decides, and officials describe the mission as purely defensive. The wording covers support for Saudi…
  • Egyptian Parliament Approves Military Support for Saudi ArabiaNTD · 11 h agoEgypt’s parliament has authorized President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi to provide military support to Saudi Arabia. What would you like to watch today? Egyptian Parliament Approves Military Support for Saudi Arabia NTD Evening News Full…
  • Kristjan Asllani to Saudi ArabiaVox News · 18 h agoThe future of Albanian midfielder Kristjan Asllani seems to be not only far from Inter but also far from Serie A OPEN LETTER/ Come to the dialogue and listen to me speak, otherwise I will cut off your scholarships, you will rot in prison…
  • 1,561 Ethiopians Return From Saudi ArabiaThe Rio Times · 29 h agoEthiopians return from Saudi Arabia in weekly groups, and 1,561 came home in seven flights, Fana Media Corporation reported on Monday 26 October 2026. The group had 929 men, 580 women and 52 children who had lived in difficult conditions…
  • Bangladesh among Saudi Arabia’s priority countries: Saudi FMThe Daily Star · 7 h agoSaudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud today said Bangladesh is among Saudi Arabia’s priority countries, stressing the importance of strengthening economic cooperation. He noted the growing interest of Saudi companies in…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions