Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Polymarket World Closes Dec 31 · $11.6K today · $274K traded · $66.8K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

12%chance▼ 4

How the odds have moved

Yes: 20% on Oct 20, 12% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 21, 7 PM ET16% → 11%
- Swiss newspaper: Why Albanian youth rebelled against Edi RamaLapsi · 6 days ago
- Albanian Students Draw a Red Line for Edi RamaAcademia · 6 days ago
- Mark Gjonaj demands Edi Rama's resignation: No political victory is worth the life of an AlbanianLapsi · 6 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Yes	12%	▼ 4	11¢	12¢	$8.33	$274K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Edi Rama, Albania PM

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Albania: Edi Rama’s Warning Defied; Protesters Torch Chairs, Clash With PoliceThe Times of India · 31 h agoAlbania is witnessing escalating anti-government unrest as protesters set fire to chairs outside Prime Minister Edi Rama’s office in Tirana, rejecting his offer of dialogue and demanding his resignation. The dramatic scenes unfolded on…
Embattled Albanian PM vows fines for violent protestersAFP.com · 42 h agoPublished on October 25, 2026 at 20:58 Albania's Prime Minister Edi Rama on Sunday vowed a tougher line against anti-government protesters, saying that fines would be introduced for violent demonstrations, as hundreds of people marched…
TRT World - Albania PM proposes tougher protest laws amid student demonstrationsTRT World · 39 h agoAlbanian Prime Minister Edi Rama has announced plans for tougher legislation on demonstrations as student-led protests demanding improved education conditions continued in the capital, Tirana. The protests, which began on October 13…
Albania Protests: Thousands of Protestors Gather for Rally in Tirana & Call for Prime Minister Edi Rama to Resign – Check Latest UpdateThe Sunday Guardian · 3 days agoAlbania Protests: Albania has been facing significant unrest since mid-October. And this evening, multiple anti-government protestors held a rally in the national capital, Tirana, to demand the resignation of Prime Minister Edi Rama. The…
“What should I do, sing?”: Albanian PM Edi Rama jokes with media at Berlin Process SummitKosovaPress · 5 days agoAlbanian Prime Minister Edi Rama made brief remarks to the media ahead of the Berlin Process Summit, which is being held in Montenegro. Rama responded ironically to reporters, asking whether he should… “What should I do, sing?”: Albanian…
Edi Rama Says Protests Aim to Destabilize Albania, Cites Ongoing Coordination with Italy and FranceALBANIA DAILY NEWS · 4 days agoPrime Minister Edi Rama addressed the media on Saturday morning alongside Interior Minister Ervin Demo, commenting on the ongoing protests and warning that their alleged objective is to destabilize the country. Rama acknowledged that…
Albanian protesters smash chairs PM Edi Rama placed outside office for dialogueInshorts - Stay Informed · 5 days ago| The protests began on Oct 13 | Inshorts Inshorts Albanian protesters smash chairs PM Edi Rama placed outside office for dialogue
Serbian President Vučić Calls Albanian PM Rama an 'Asset' But Criticizes Soft Approach on ProtestersExit.al · 5 days agoexit.al Serbian President Vučić Calls Albanian PM Rama an 'Asset' But Criticizes Soft Approach on Protesters Students Continue Protests, but Parliament Refuses to Discuss the Crisis, Hiding Behind EU Integration Laws Rama Threatens…
Student-led protests in Albania escalate as calls for Prime Minister Edi Rama’s resignation intensifySSBCrack News · 6 days agoHome » Trending » Student-led protests in Albania escalate as calls for Prime Minister Edi Rama’s resignation intensify The protests are intertwined with broader discontent, fueled by a luxury resort development on ecologically sensitive…
Tirana Students Protest Luxury Kushner Resort, Demand Edi Rama Resignation After Police Tear GasNewsCord · 5 days agoPublished 22 Oct 2026, 05:23 UTC Tirana students demand Rama's resignation over Kushner resort deal and corruption. Ninth day of protests in Tirana; police crackdown causes injuries, arrests, and property damage. A wider view of the story…
VIDEO/ "Our fixation..." - What happened in Rama's closed-door meeting with socialist leadersVox News · 9 h agoPrime Minister Edi Rama has shared on his account excerpts from two-day discussions between the Socialist Party and the government cabinet in Pogradec, where the focus was on listening to the concerns of every citizen and translating them…
BBC Audio | From Our Own Correspondent | Israel elections: Netanyahu's big testBBC News · 3 days agoKate Adie introduces stories from Israel, Albania, the US and Chile. Israel goes to the polls on Tuesday in a pivotal vote on the future direction of the country. Israel's longest-serving prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, is facing a…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$274K

Today$11.6K

This week$26.8K

At stake$66.8K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions