Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Polymarket World › Middle East Result pending · $191K today · $279K traded · $54.2K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

60%Benjamin Netanyahu
  • Benjamin Netanyahu60%▲ 36
  • Gadi Eizenkot39%▼ 36
  • Naftali Bennett1%▼ 1
  • Yair Lapid<1%
  • Benny Gantz<1%
  • Avigdor Lieberman<1%
  • Yossi Cohen<1%
  • Yair Golan<1%
  • Itamar Ben Gvir<1%
  • Gideon Sa’ar<1%
  • Yariv Levin<1%
  • Moshe Feiglin<1%
7 more
  • Ayelet Shaked<1%
  • Yoaz Hendel<1%
  • Israel Katz<1%
  • Nir Barkat<1%
  • Amir Ohana<1%
  • Gilad Erdan<1%
  • Ofer Winter<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Benjamin Netanyahu 60% ▲ 36 58¢ 61¢ $1.64 $117K
Gadi Eizenkot 39% ▼ 36 38¢ 40¢ $2.50 $107K
Naftali Bennett 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $39K
Yair Lapid <1% 0¢ $2K
Benny Gantz <1% 0¢ $703
Avigdor Lieberman <1% 0¢ $3.1K
Yossi Cohen <1% 0¢ $993
Yair Golan <1% 0¢ $966
Itamar Ben Gvir <1% 0¢ $725
Gideon Sa’ar <1% 0¢ $669
Yariv Levin <1% 0¢ $713
Moshe Feiglin <1% 0¢ $514
Ayelet Shaked <1% 0¢ $981
Yoaz Hendel <1% 0¢ $720
Israel Katz <1% 0¢ $790
Nir Barkat <1% 0¢ $729
Amir Ohana <1% 0¢ $637
Gilad Erdan <1% 0¢ $739
Ofer Winter <1% 0¢ $673

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israel, Gaza, Netanyahu

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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