Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $2.6K today · $38.9K traded · $3.6K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

The odds

67%God is Shy

God is Shy67%
Because Today is Saturday60%▲ 9
What We Leave Behind59%▲ 11
Dollhouse Elephant55%▼ 7
Please54%▲ 10
Dog Alone47%
Paper Trail47%▼ 12
Water Girl39%▲ 1
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car34%▲ 4
Saba25%▼ 1
El Cuerpo de Cristo22%▼ 8

How the odds have moved

God is Shy: 68% on Oct 20, 67% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
God is Shy	67%		45¢	89¢	$1.12	$140
Because Today is Saturday	60%	▲ 9	37¢	82¢	$1.22	$1.5K
What We Leave Behind	59%	▲ 11	38¢	80¢	$1.25	$1.3K
Dollhouse Elephant	55%	▼ 7	39¢	70¢	$1.43	$2K
Please	54%	▲ 10	39¢	69¢	$1.45	$5.4K
Dog Alone	47%		31¢	63¢	$1.59	$4.2K
Paper Trail	47%	▼ 12	34¢	59¢	$1.69	$4.8K
Water Girl	39%	▲ 1	37¢	40¢	$2.50	$1.9K
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car	34%	▲ 4	11¢	57¢	$1.75	$908
Saba	25%	▼ 1	24¢	25¢	$4.00	$6.4K
El Cuerpo de Cristo	22%	▼ 8	19¢	24¢	$4.17	$10.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Animated Short Film Nominations

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John Anderson Dies At 71: Five Songs That Explore Life, Mortality, And What We Leave BehindJubileeCast · 5 days ago"Years" - Making Peace With Passing Time The title track of Anderson's 2020 album addresses aging through acceptance rather than panic. Its narrator recognizes that time cannot be recovered by endlessly mourning its disappearance. Looking…
Neon joins the Guardian, MK2 on Academy Award-winning directors Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor’s NAZAthe Guardian · 5 days agoDocumentary, produced by James Wilson and executive-produced by Jonathan Glazer, premiered in Venice and won the special jury prize The Guardian’s head of investigations, Paul Lewis, and global head of multimedia, Nicole Jackson, said…
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Medical Academy Awards N10m Gold Medal to Cardiologist Ogah, inducts 13 fellowsChampion of the Truth. · 5 days agoThe Academy of Medical Sciences of Nigeria has announced a N10 million Gold Medal Award for Professor Okechukwu Samuel Ogah, a cardiologist recognised for his contributions to cardiovascular research, medical education and healthcare in…
Hiam Abbass To Receive Honorary European Film Academy AwardIMDb · 6 days agoIMDb
FULL LIST: Nominees for 2026 Africa Movie Academy AwardsNollywood Life · 7 days agoHome » FULL LIST: Nominees for 2026 Africa Movie Academy Awards The nominations for the 22nd edition of the Africa Movie Academy Awards were announced on Saturday, October 17, 2026, during a livestream on the awards’ official YouTube…
W&M film studies alumnus wins Student Academy AwardW&M Alumni Magazine · 7 days agoOctober 19, 2026 By Rebecca Ries '27 The following story originally appeared on the website for W&M’s College of Arts & Sciences. As Arjun Fischer ’20 was waiting on the tarmac in Virginia to fly back to Los Angeles, where he currently…
Screen Brasil Backs International Distribution of Oscar Hopeful ‘Gugu’s World’ and Gramado Winner ‘Our Secret’ (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 6 days agoThe Embratur and Projeto Paradiso initiative awards $15,000 per film to support theatrical releases in Spain, the U.S. and Canada, with a new funding round set for 2027 Screen Brasil, the leading initiative from Embratur and Projeto…
Is ‘Redacted’ Eligible For An Academy Award For Their Surprise Role In ‘You Can See Everything’?BroBible · 8 days agoTaylor Hill/FilmMagic | A24 A surprise performance in 'You Can See Everything' is earning Oscar shouts A surprise performance in the back half of Nathan Fielder’s splashy Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything is being hailed…
'You Can 'You Can See Everything' Oscar Chances Are Real Everything' Oscar Chances On The RiseDeadline · 8 days agoSPOILER ALERT: The following article contains details about storylines and characters/actors in A24‘s documentary You Can See Everything. Ever since its super-secret onetime screening at the Telluride Film Festival over Labor Day weekend…
Oscar-winning ‘Dracula’ makeup artist recalls sky highs and bloody lows of Gary Oldman’s vampireGold Derby · 5 days agoOne of the earliest lessons drilled into Academy Award winner Matthew W. Mungle when he was becoming a professional makeup artist in Hollywood — long before Edward Scissorhands, 25th Hour, or Collateral — was to work fast. "Go in, do your…
Vatican to submit short documentary for Oscar considerationThe Catholic Weekly · 5 days agoIn 1947, the Academy Awards began recognising what were then called foreign language films on an annual basis. Over the decades since, movies from many nations have been submitted for voter consideration in a variety of categories. Perhaps…

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All awards ›

Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

50%The Odyssey

The Odyssey50%▲ 2
You Can See Everything25%▼ 3
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three7%▲ 2
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey

The Odyssey98%
The Black Ball95%
Wild Horse Nine87%▼ 4

50 more

Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
You Can See Everything82%▲ 2
The Debut75%▲ 1
Project Hail Mary73%▼ 4
The Invite64%▲ 2
Artificial54%▼ 1
I Play Rocky53%▼ 6
All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
Fjord35%
Obsession32%▼ 2
Elsinore32%▲ 2
Wildwood29%▲ 1
Digger24%▲ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%
Club Kid20%▼ 4
Being Heumann19%▲ 2
Possible Love17%
Behemoth14%
Michael11%▼ 1
Primetime10%
Josephine9%▲ 2
Ink8%
Sense and Sensibility6%
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 1
Saturn Return5%
Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
Misty Green4%▲ 1
The Drama4%
1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
Minotaur4%
The Whisper Man4%
Clarissa4%
Disclosure Day3%
Werwulf3%
Parallel Tales3%
Rose3%
The Uprising3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
The Death of Robin Hood3%
Backrooms3%
The Entertainment System Is Down2%
Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
Hope2%
I Love Boosters2%
Jack of Spades2%
Tony2%
Bucking Fastard2%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
The Social Reckoning1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

90%Matt Damon

Matt Damon90%▼ 1
John Malkovich87%▲ 2
Andrew Scott85%▼ 1

16 more

Tom Cruise60%▲ 11
Anthony Ippolito50%▲ 3
John Turturro46%▲ 2
Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
Robert Pattinson34%▼ 10
Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
Jaafar Jackson18%
Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 3
Sam Rockwell6%
Javier Bardem5%
Adam Driver5%▼ 1
Brad Pitt4%
Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
Jeremy Strong2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball

The Black Ball96%
The Odyssey86%▲ 1
Digger70%▲ 8

8 more

Project Hail Mary68%▲ 1
Sense and Sensibility64%▲ 35
Dune: Part Three62%▼ 2
Werwulf49%▲ 4
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth41%▲ 21
Wuthering Heights20%▲ 2
Backrooms18%
Wildwood4%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

88%La Nieve - The Black Ball

La Nieve - The Black Ball88%▼ 3
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%▲ 1
I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 570%▲ 1

8 more

By Any Means - By Any Means66%▲ 1
When I'm Home - The Odyssey53%▲ 20
How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad35%▼ 3
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 233%▲ 3
Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk33%▲ 4
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 24
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 3
Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti

Paul Giamatti92%
Andrew Garfield78%
Sam Rockwell77%▲ 6

23 more

John Leguizamo56%▼ 12
Guitarricadelafuente55%▼ 17
Edward Norton51%▼ 6
Robert Pattinson29%▼ 1
Colman Domingo19%▼ 5
Riz Ahmed18%
Steve Buscemi17%▼ 3
John Goodman13%
Skyler Gisondo9%
Miles Teller7%
James Ortiz7%
Antonio Banderas6%▲ 1
Guy Pearce5%▼ 6
Jeremy Strong5%▼ 9
Adam Scott5%
Himesh Patel4%▼ 1
Michael Fassbender4%▼ 8
Charles Melton4%▲ 1
Channing Tatum4%▼ 3
Daniel Craig4%
Tom Holland4%
Jesse Plemons3%
Robert De Niro3%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMar 14, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$38.9K

Today$2.6K

This week$11.2K

At stake$3.6K

In the news17 headlines today, 273 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, thi

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions