The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Magan's Fare
60%
▲ 1
47¢
73¢
$1.37
$6.4K
Pale Sun
50%
▲ 7
49¢
51¢
$1.96
$20
Meeting Your Maker
36%
▼ 5
25¢
46¢
$2.17
$2.8K
Mary is Missing
34%
▼ 12
24¢
44¢
$2.27
$2.7K
Nightfaces
33%
▲ 5
16¢
50¢
$2.00
$220
Spilled Milk
21%
▲ 4
20¢
22¢
$4.55
$3.5K
Agapito
20%
▼ 22
17¢
22¢
$4.55
$4.1K
The Birthday Gift
8%
▼ 1
6¢
10¢
$10.00
$4.5K
32B
6%
▲ 2
4¢
7¢
$14.08
$7.3K
The Man That I Wave At
5%
▲ 1
4¢
6¢
$16.67
$11.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Live Action Short Film Nominations
This Is the Only Horror Movie to Ever Win Best Picture at the Academy Awardsvice · 29 h agoComing to you from around the world, VICE Digital’s team strives to capture the people at the heart of stories, and focus on the ideas, issues, and context that other outlets miss. Get unlimited access to everything VICE has to offer…
WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning ActorWrestling Inc. · 37 h agoFormer World Heavyweight and Undisputed Champion Drew McIntyre says this renowned actor wants to join forces with him in the WWE. WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning Actor Once he comes back, WWE…
Clayface Just Broke a Comic Book Movie Record & Beat An Academy Award WinnerComicBook.com · 5 days ago(Sr. Writer/Editor) Kofi Outlaw has a B.A. in writing and film studies. He then earned a Master’s Degree in creative writing from The New School in NYC, where he became editor of Screenrant.com when it was just a hobby blog. Kofi…
Medical Academy Awards N10m Gold Medal to Cardiologist Ogah, inducts 13 fellowsChampion of the Truth. · 5 days agoThe Academy of Medical Sciences of Nigeria has announced a N10 million Gold Medal Award for Professor Okechukwu Samuel Ogah, a cardiologist recognised for his contributions to cardiovascular research, medical education and healthcare in…
Red Sea Film Foundation expands global reach with record Oscar-season slateBroadcastPro ME · 45 h agoThe shortlist for Best International Feature Film will be announced on December 15, 2026, with nominations on January 21, 2027. The Red Sea Film Foundation has achieved a record presence in the race for the Best International Feature Film…
Oscar winner Melissa Leo to perform in KingstonDaily Freeman · 2 days agoKINGSTON, N.Y. — Academy Award winner Melissa Leo, a part-time Ulster County resident, will take the stage at the Arts Society of Kingston for a stage reading of “night, Mother,” Marsha Norman’s Pulitzer Prize–winning drama, on Saturday…
The Surprise Guest in ‘You Can See Everything’ Could Win an Oscar. Should They?Variety · 3 days agoSPOILER ALERT: This article contains spoilers for “You Can See Everything,” now playing in theaters. The question that’s consumed the awards-pundit class since “You Can See Everything” exploded into theaters last week is whether Amanda…
Pakistani short film ‘The Last Glance’ qualifies for Oscars longlist24 News HD · 3 days agoPakistani filmmaker Kamran Faiq has achieved an international milestone as his short film The Last Glance qualifies for the 2028 Academy Awards longlist after winning the Jury Award for Best Short at the 21st Tasveer Film Festival in…
Oscar Piastri warns COTA bumps could become an overtaking hazard at US GPYahoo Sports · 2 days agoMcLaren's Oscar Piastri has compared the bump on the approach to Turn 1 at the Circuit of the Americas to "a motocross jump" after qualifying seventh for the United States Grand Prix. The Australian driver finished 0.768 seconds behind…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
