Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $2K today · $29.1K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 11 min ago

The odds

75%The Baddest Speechwriter of All
  • The Baddest Speechwriter of All75%
  • Oh Whale64%▲ 15
  • One Last Order60%▲ 7
  • Water Cooler46%▼ 5
  • A Derailment41%▲ 5
  • Listen39%▲ 2
  • The Tuners33%▼ 6
  • A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil33%▲ 9
  • We're Fine33%▲ 11
  • A Wolf in the Suburbs23%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

The Baddest Speechwriter of All: 75% on Oct 20, 75% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Baddest Speechwriter of All 75% 54¢ 96¢ $1.04 $120
Oh Whale 64% ▲ 15 51¢ 77¢ $1.30 $4.9K
One Last Order 60% ▲ 7 40¢ 79¢ $1.27 $3.1K
Water Cooler 46% ▼ 5 35¢ 57¢ $1.75 $3.7K
A Derailment 41% ▲ 5 25¢ 57¢ $1.75 $1.4K
Listen 39% ▲ 2 33¢ 44¢ $2.27 $5.6K
The Tuners 33% ▼ 6 22¢ 44¢ $2.27 $20
A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil 33% ▲ 9 24¢ 41¢ $2.44 $3.7K
We're Fine 33% ▲ 11 31¢ 34¢ $2.94 $6.6K
A Wolf in the Suburbs 23% ▲ 1 5¢ 41¢ $2.44

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

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Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 4
  • The Debut75%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary74%▼ 3
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial55%▼ 1
  • I Play Rocky54%▼ 4
  • All of a Sudden37%▼ 1
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore32%▲ 2
  • Wildwood27%▲ 1
  • Digger23%
  • Club Kid21%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth15%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine9%▲ 2
  • Ink8%▲ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility5%▼ 1
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 2
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Backrooms1%▼ 2
  • Tony1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

49%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey49%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything28%
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▲ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

89%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball89%▼ 1
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 569%▼ 11
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 1
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 13
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 239%▲ 16
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad36%▲ 5
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk31%▲ 4
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 21
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 5
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▲ 1
  • Sam Rockwell77%▲ 11
23 more
  • John Leguizamo66%▲ 1
  • Guitarricadelafuente55%▼ 16
  • Edward Norton48%▼ 9
  • Robert Pattinson30%▼ 1
  • Steve Buscemi19%▼ 2
  • Colman Domingo18%▼ 8
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Miles Teller6%
  • Guy Pearce6%▲ 1
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Himesh Patel6%
  • Jeremy Strong5%▼ 8
  • Channing Tatum5%▼ 2
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 4
  • Daniel Craig3%
  • Tom Holland3%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

89%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway89%▲ 1
  • Penélope Cruz77%
  • Samantha Morton72%▼ 2
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto62%▼ 4
  • Amanda Seyfried49%▲ 7
  • Kate O'Flynn38%▲ 1
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▲ 1
  • Sandra Hüller27%▲ 2
  • Olivia Colman21%▼ 12
  • Gemma Chan18%▲ 7
  • Parker Posey18%▼ 4
  • Merritt Wever18%
  • Danielle Deadwyler12%▲ 4
  • Betty Gilpin7%▲ 1
  • Zendaya6%▼ 3
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette3%▲ 2

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

90%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon90%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich86%
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise60%▲ 11
  • Anthony Ippolito49%▲ 2
  • John Turturro46%▼ 2
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson35%▼ 9
  • Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
  • Timothée Chalamet12%▲ 1
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Adam Driver6%▲ 1
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
  • Brad Pitt4%▲ 1
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

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