Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $113 today · $15.2K traded · $2.4K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

70%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey70%▲ 6
  • The Black Ball17%▼ 2
  • Dune: Part Three7%▼ 4
  • Werwulf4%▼ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility2%▼ 2
  • Wild Horse Nine1%▲ 1
  • I Love Boosters1%
  • Wuthering Heights1%▼ 2
  • The Devil Wears Prada 21%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Digger<1%
  • Michael<1%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 77% on Oct 20, 70% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETThe Odyssey: 78% → 70%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Odyssey 70% ▲ 6 70¢ 71¢ $1.41 $10.1K
The Black Ball 17% ▼ 2 17¢ 19¢ $5.41 $795
Dune: Part Three 7% ▼ 4 6¢ 8¢ $12.20 $451
Werwulf 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 5¢ $18.87 $256
Sense and Sensibility 2% ▼ 2 1¢ 3¢ $29.41 $1.9K
Wild Horse Nine 1% ▲ 1 1¢ 2¢ $47.62 $329
I Love Boosters 1% 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $496
Wuthering Heights 1% ▼ 2 0¢ 1¢ $76.92 $218
The Devil Wears Prada 2 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $165
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth <1% 0¢ 1¢ $144
Digger <1% 0¢ 1¢ $222
Michael <1% 0¢ 0¢ $163

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Costume Design

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey48%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything27%▼ 2
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 4
  • Dune: Part Three82%▼ 2
  • Project Hail Mary75%▼ 3
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite62%
  • I Play Rocky57%▼ 1
  • Artificial54%▼ 2
  • All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession33%
  • Wildwood30%▲ 4
  • Elsinore30%▼ 1
  • Digger23%▼ 1
  • Club Kid23%▲ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%▼ 1
  • Josephine8%▲ 2
  • Ink8%▲ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility6%▼ 1
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 2
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 3
  • The Drama3%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man3%▼ 1
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Clarissa3%▼ 1
  • Cry to Heaven3%▼ 2
  • Parallel Tales3%▼ 1
  • Rose3%▼ 1
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%▼ 1
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 3
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Hope2%▼ 1
  • Backrooms2%▼ 1
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

88%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball88%▼ 2
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut77%▲ 1
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 568%▼ 11
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey57%▲ 14
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 249%▲ 12
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad35%▼ 8
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk28%▲ 2
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 19
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 6
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Winner

55%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball55%▼ 5
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut28%▲ 13
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 512%▼ 2
8 more
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk2%▼ 6
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 21%▲ 1
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!1%
  • By Any Means - By Any Means<1%
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey<1%
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn<1%
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad<1%
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions