Fed Decision in October?
94%No change
- No change94%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase6%▲ 2
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Install
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?
The odds
$1.11Mmedian
$1.1M$1.18M
Median $1.11MMiddle half $1.11M – $1.12M
How the odds have moved
Median: $1.12M on Oct 20, $1.11M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$1.115M | 62% | ▲ 12 | 65¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | $11.3K |
| $1.115M - $1.126M | 16% | 16¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $2.7K | |
| $1.126M - $1.137M | 6% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $3K |
| $1.137M - $1.148M | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.42 | $1.4K | |
| $1.148M - $1.159M | 4% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | $2.8K |
| $1.159M - $1.168M | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $3.1K | |
| $1.168M+ | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA Metro
Search ›-
Azusa residents furious as LA Metro repeatedly dumps homeless people overnightA California city is demanding answers from Los Angeles Metro after residents have accused the transport agency of dumping passengers on their streets overnight, with allegations of break-ins, stolen parcels and public urination. Furious… -
LA Metro renames train station for Biddy Mason, aligning with new name for Pershing SquareLA Metro’s board voted to rename its downtown Los Angeles Pershing Square rail station, which serves both the B and D subway lines, to the “Biddy” Mason Station. The change was approved by the transit agency’s Board of Directors by a 10-0… -
LA Metro Breaks Ground on Vermont BRT ProjectThe 12.4-mile corridor is projected to serve 66,200 daily riders, reduce travel times by up to 24%, and create the nation's busiest bus rapid transit corridor. Expected to become the nation's busiest BRT corridor, the Vermont BRT Project… -
Azusa accuses LA Metro of dumping passengers in city, leading to uptick in crimeThe LA County Sheriff’s Department confirmed to NBCLA that deputies deboard passengers from and clear trains in Azusa to prepare for maintenance. Azusa city officials and neighbors say Los Angeles Metro A Line trains stop before the end of… -
LA Metro OKs Effort to Relocate Commerce Metrolink Station to Pico RiveraThe Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority Board of Directors voted unanimously Thursday to approve a motion aimed at relocating the Commerce Metrolink station to Pico Rivera. The motion, introduced by board member and… -
Cemex Supplied 300,000+ Cubic Yards for LA Metro D LineCemex has supplied concrete for section 1 of the Los Angeles Metro D Line Extension, a major underground infrastructure project designed to expand transit capacity beneath one of the city’s busiest corridors. “Resilient infrastructure is… -
$1 million grant may push LA28 water taxi linking Long Beach to San Pedro across finish lineThe idea of Los Angeles Olympics spectators traveling via boat to reach venues in Long Beach and San Pedro got much more serious this week. The project received $1 million via LA Metro and local transit agencies from a fund generated… -
LA Metro kicks off construction of East San Fernando Valley light rail lineLA Metro breaks ground on a 6.7-mile light rail project along Van Nuys Boulevard, bringing back local rail service after more than 70 years. This broadcast aired on NBC4 at 3 p.m. on Oct. 19, 2026. The Los Angeles County Metropolitan… - Los Angeles: Construction Begins on Vermont Avenue Bus Rapid Transit ProjectThe Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority (LA Metro) has begun construction on the Vermont Corridor Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Project. The project will introduce 12.4 miles (20 kilometres) of dedicated bus lanes along…
-
DASH bus illegal parking — AI Cameras to Issue $293 Fines in LAIllegal parking and stopping in bus-only lanes across Los Angeles, including Koreatown, will face significantly stricter enforcement. Building on the AI camera enforcement system installed on LA County Metro buses since last year, the Los… -
LA’s Vermont Avenue rapid bus line work begins; Metro vows faster ride times, more passengersLA Metro broke ground on a new, 12.4-mile bus rapid transit line along Vermont Avenue in Los Angeles, promising faster service and 26 upgraded stations at 13 major intersections, while connecting with four major rail lines, the transit… -
Metro breaks ground on 12.4-mile Vermont Avenue Bus Rapid Transit projectVermont Avenue looking south toward Santa Monica Boulevard. Metro broke ground Wednesday on a 12.4-mile bus rapid transit project along Vermont Avenue, promising faster service on Los Angeles County's busiest bus route and improved…
Related markets
All economy ›How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
96%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)96%
- 1 (25 bps)2%
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
10 more
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
Fed Decision in December?
74%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase74%▼ 2
- No change21%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase3%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
South Dakota corn yield in 2026
151.6median
120185
Median 151.6Middle half 146.7 – 156.9
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
83%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase83%
- No Change17%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
4.66%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 4.66%Middle half 3.71% – 6.19%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions