Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
13%chance
Install
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.83 | $3.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran
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British official says UK is ‘determined’ to harden defense against IranBritish Ambassador to the U.S. Christian Turner discusses the U.K.'s military readiness and defense strategy amid global tensions on ‘Special Report.’ ... British official says UK is ‘determined’ to harden defense against Iran British… -
Walter Reed hospital visit highlights toll of Iran-backed roadside bombsTrump recounts a Walter Reed hospital visit with a severely injured soldier from New Jersey. The segment details the devastating impact of plastic roadside bombs in Iraq and points to Iran's role in manufacturing the weapons. Walter Reed… -
US intelligence memo warns Iran is ramping up threats against Americans abroadRet. Navy Capt. Brent Sadler and Israeli special ops veteran Aaron Cohen discuss a U.S. intelligence memo warning that Iran is ramping up efforts to target Americans abroad on 'Fox News @ Night.' ... US intelligence memo warns Iran is… -
BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikesIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as elections loom. BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as… -
Trump backs Netanyahu as Iran tensions loom over Israeli electionFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on President Donald Trump's backing of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the Israeli election. Ret. USAF Brigadier Gen. John Teichert provides analysis on 'America… -
Netanyahu reportedly sought to resume strikes against Iran before Israeli electionsFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's reported push to resume strikes against Iran on 'The Story.' ... Netanyahu reportedly sought to resume strikes against Iran before… -
Netanyahu reportedly pressured military to attack Iran in runup to electionIsraeli prime minister increases alarmist rhetoric as his far-right coalition narrowly trails in polls Benjamin Netanyahu has resorted to increasingly alarmist rhetoric and reportedly put pressure on Israel’s military to take action… -
Trump warns of potential renewed strikes on Iran: ‘May do another little Epic Fury’Ret. U.S. Air Force Brig. Gen. John Teichert discusses President Donald Trump's warning of potential renewed strikes on Iran on 'America Reports.' ... Trump warns of potential renewed strikes on Iran: ‘May do another little Epic Fury’ Ret… -
Iran steps up efforts to target Americans, unclassified memo warnsFox News senior strategic analyst Gen. Jack Keane joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss an unclassified memo detailing Iran's increased efforts to target U.S. citizens and analyzes potential military responses in the region. Iran steps up… -
Bessent says Iran's economy is collapsing as Trump weighs next moveTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins Brian Kilmeade to discuss President Donald Trump's economic crackdown on Iran, mounting pressure on the Iranian regime, trade tensions with Canada and Mexico and the outlook for the U.S. economy… -
Trump supporters confront Iran, affordability concerns with a message for critics: 'Give him time'Rallygoers in Perry, Georgia, voiced strong support for President Trump ahead of the midterms, with some emphasizing the importance of his endorsement as they continue getting to know his Senate pick, Rep. Mike Collins, R-Ga. Trump… -
Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned attacks on AmericansFormer Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reacts to a memo about potential Iranian attacks on Americans, the reported threats to U.S. interests abroad and the American military presence in the region. Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions