Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Feb 28, 2027 · $7.9K today · $107K traded · $10.1K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

41%No Next Minister by Feb 28
  • No Next Minister by Feb 2841%▲ 2
  • Yaron Zelekha14%▲ 10
  • Avigdor Lieberman13%
  • Naftali Bennett12%▼ 3
  • Bezalel Smotrich9%▲ 3
  • Eli Cohen4%▼ 1
  • Israel Katz2%▼ 1
  • Nir Barkat2%
  • Shaul Meridor2%▼ 1
  • Moshe Feiglin1%▼ 2
  • Benjamin Netanyahu1%
  • Yair Lapid<1%▼ 1
4 more
  • Orit Farkash-Hacohen<1%
  • Yair Golan<1%
  • Hili Tropper<1%
  • Gadi Eizenkot<1%

How the odds have moved

No Next Minister by Feb 28: 39% on Oct 20, 41% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETNo Next Minister by Feb 28: 40% → 31%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
No Next Minister by Feb 28 41% ▲ 2 41¢ 44¢ $2.27 $40.6K
Yaron Zelekha 14% ▲ 10 14¢ 17¢ $5.95 $10.6K
Avigdor Lieberman 13% 13¢ 14¢ $7.25 $12.8K
Naftali Bennett 12% ▼ 3 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $13.7K
Bezalel Smotrich 9% ▲ 3 8¢ 12¢ $8.62 $4.3K
Eli Cohen 4% ▼ 1 0¢ 7¢ $13.51 $2.4K
Israel Katz 2% ▼ 1 0¢ 5¢ $20.41 $1.7K
Nir Barkat 2% 0¢ 3¢ $29.41 $6.1K
Shaul Meridor 2% ▼ 1 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 $5.5K
Moshe Feiglin 1% ▼ 2 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $1.6K
Benjamin Netanyahu 1% 0¢ 1¢ $917
Yair Lapid <1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $3.2K
Orit Farkash-Hacohen <1% 0¢ 1¢ $806
Yair Golan <1% 0¢ 1¢ $410
Hili Tropper <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.3K
Gadi Eizenkot <1% 0¢ 0¢ $552

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israeli Minister of Finance, Yaron Zelekha, Avigdor Lieberman

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

60%Gadi Eizenkot
  • Gadi Eizenkot60%▲ 4
  • Benjamin Netanyahu28%▲ 1
  • Naftali Bennett8%▼ 5
16 more
  • Avigdor Lieberman2%
  • Yossi Cohen<1%
  • Itamar Ben Gvir<1%
  • Moshe Feiglin<1%
  • Israel Katz<1%
  • Amir Ohana<1%
  • Yair Lapid<1%
  • Benny Gantz<1%
  • Gideon Sa’ar<1%
  • Yariv Levin<1%
  • Ayelet Shaked<1%
  • Yoaz Hendel<1%
  • Nir Barkat<1%
  • Gilad Erdan<1%
  • Ofer Winter<1%
  • Yair Golan<1%
PolymarketCloses today 11:59 PM ET · $3.6M today

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