Iowa Senate Election Winner
58%Ashley Hinson (R)
- Ashley Hinson (R)58%▲ 1
- Josh Turek (D)42%▼ 1
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Iowa Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
58%Ashley Hinson
- Ashley Hinson58%
- Josh Turek42%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Ashley Hinson: 57% on Oct 20, 58% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson | 58% | 58¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 2.9M | |
| Josh Turek | 42% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 3.1M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Iowa Senate winner? (2026)Josh Turek (D)Kalshi 42%Polymarket 42%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Iowa Senate, Ashley Hinson, Josh Turek
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Iowa Senate Candidates Rep. Ashley Hinson & Josh Turek and Gov. Wes Moore, Sunday on “This Week” with Co-anchor Jonathan KarlThis is a listing for 'This Week' airing Sunday, October 25, 2026. IOWA SENATE CANDIDATES REP. ASHLEY HINSON & JOSH TUREK AND GOV. WES MOORE, SUNDAY ON “THIS WEEK” WITH CO-ANCHOR JONATHAN KARL (R) Iowa Senate Nominee (D) Iowa Senate… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… -
Iowa's Ashley Hinson courts Trump loyalists while promising to push back on himOctober 23, 2026 / 11:43 AM CDT / AP After Ashley Hinson dropped off her boys at school earlier this month, she saw the initials "DJT" flash on her phone. "'Ashley, it's your favorite president,'" Iowa's Republican nominee for U.S. Senate… -
Josh Turek outraises Ashley Hinson in latest campaign finance periodDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate Josh Turek debates his Republican opponent Ashley Hinson on Oct. 7 at Iowa PBS in Johnston. With Election Day less than two weeks away, Democrat Josh Turek is outpacing Republican Ashley Hinson in… -
Donald Trump Iowa Rally Tests Ashley Hinson’s Distancing StrategyOct 23, 2026 at 12:36 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:37 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump told Iowans to “pretend [he] is on the ballot” in the November election, a message that may test Republican Senate candidate Ashley Hinson’s campaign… -
Ashley Hinson Says She’ll Confront Trump on Putin Deals Ahead of Iowa RallyOct 22, 2026 at 03:58 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM EDT Republican Ashley Hinson has split with President Donald Trump over his diesel deal with Russia, saying she planned to tell him it was a "bad idea" a day before he was set to travel… -
One-on-one with Senate candidate Ashley Hinson in IowaNBC News Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek says he wouldn’t impeach Trump One-on-one with Senate candidate Ashley Hinson in Iowa Christina Applegate misdiagnosed with MS Trump’s new push in Ukraine talks California man injured in violent… -
WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tourSenate Majority Leader John Thune joins Rep. Ashley Hinson in Sioux City, Iowa, to tour the 185th Air Refueling Wing and host a campaign roundtable discussion. WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tour… -
NRSC attacks Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek over farm vote recordEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Iowa Race Tightens Between Pro-Life Ashley Hinson and Pro-Abortion Josh TurekOver a hundred million dollars have flooded the Iowa Senate race from outside spenders. Instead of supporting the candidate they want to win, they are throwing money at opposing the one they want to lose. Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson is… -
Trump rallying with Senate hopeful Ashley Hinson in Iowa as she pledges to push back on White HouseOctober 22, 2026 / 6:00 AM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — President Trump is set to rally Thursday with Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa as he seeks to boost Republican candidates in a political environment that has dimmed for the party —… -
Josh Turek campaigns in Council Bluffs for Iowa Senate seatWOWT Josh Turek campaigns in Council Bluffs for Iowa Senate seat Thune rallies for Ricketts in Fremont as election nears 2 taken to hospital in shooting at West Omaha gas station Scene video: 2 taken to hospital in shooting at West Omaha…
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All senate ›Iowa Senate winner? (2028)
63%Republican party
- Republican party63%
- Democratic party36%
Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
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- Republican Party37%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
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Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
75%Democratic party
- Democratic party75%▼ 1
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Michigan Senate Election Winner
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions