Iowa Senate winner? (2026)
59%Ashley Hinson
- Ashley Hinson59%
- Josh Turek42%▼ 1
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Iowa Senate Election Winner
The odds
57%Ashley Hinson (R)
- Ashley Hinson (R)57%▼ 1
- Josh Turek (D)43%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Ashley Hinson (R): 58% on Oct 20, 57% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson (R) | 57% | ▼ 1 | 56¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | $502K |
| Josh Turek (D) | 43% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | $601K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Iowa Senate winner? (2026)Ashley Hinson (R)Kalshi 59%Polymarket 57%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Iowa Senate
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Meet the candidates running for Iowa Senate District 47Republican State Sen. Scott Webster has highlighted tax cuts and reduced regulations in his run for reelection, and physician and school board member Democrat Nikhil Wagle has called for bolstering public education and healthcare access in… -
ABC’s ‘This Week’ speaks with Hinson, Turek ahead of midtermsIowa (ABC) - Republican Iowa Senate nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic Iowa Senate nominee Josh Turek spoke with Jon Karl for ABC’s “This Week.” Watch Hinson’s full interview: Watch Turek’s full ... Iowa (ABC) - Republican Iowa Senate… -
Close Up: Trump visits Sioux City; Senate candidates talk costsPresident Trump visits Sioux City ahead of Election Day, while Iowa Senate candidates Ashley Hinson and Josh Turek present competing plans to address rising costs. President Trump visits Sioux City ahead of Election Day, while Iowa Senate… -
Iowa Senate Candidates Rep. Ashley Hinson & Josh Turek and Gov. Wes Moore, Sunday on “This Week” with Co-anchor Jonathan KarlThis is a listing for 'This Week' airing Sunday, October 25, 2026. IOWA SENATE CANDIDATES REP. ASHLEY HINSON & JOSH TUREK AND GOV. WES MOORE, SUNDAY ON “THIS WEEK” WITH CO-ANCHOR JONATHAN KARL (R) Iowa Senate Nominee (D) Iowa Senate… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… - ‘Most potent weapon’: Obama arrives to boost Democrats in battlegroundsThe former president is taking his star power on a three-state swing through must-win territory just 10 days before Election Day. Democrats are hoping Barack Obama — their “closer in chief” — still has the magic. The former president is…
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NRSC attacks Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek over farm vote recordEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
How Many Senate Seats are Up for Election in 2026? – Check Key Races, Number of Seats Having Elections and MoreThe midterm elections are just around the corner and while all seats in the House of Representatives will be contested, that’s not the case for the US Senate. So how many seats in the Senate elections are up for grabs? Here is all you need… -
Democrat Cindy Winckler and Republican Cynthia Mensendick face off for Davenport, Buffalo Senate DistrictDemocratic State Sen. Cindy Winckler is facing a challenge from Republican Cynthia Mensendick for Iowa Senate District 49. Election Day is coming. We've put together a free voter guide to help you navigate the races and candidates on the… -
Trump Rages at ‘Horrible Little Reporter’ Trying to Explain ‘Sexual Abuse Allegations’ in Ohio Ad ControversyPresident Donald Trump absolutely lost it on an NBC journalist grilling him on a controversial Vivek Ramaswamy (R) attack ad against Amy Acton (D), calling her a “horrible little reporter.” The tense back-and-forth began during a press… -
Iowa Senate District 45 - Janice WeinerJanice Weiner is seeking to be re-elected to represent District 45 in the Iowa Senate in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election. Weiner is running unopposed. What are the three most important issues the state is facing? What will you do to… -
Criminal illegal aliens in Iowa committed various crimes before removal by Trump and RepublicansEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions