Michigan Senate Election Winner
71%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%▲ 2
- Mike Rogers (R)29%▼ 1
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Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
68%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed68%
- Mike Rogers32%
How the odds have moved
Abdul El-Sayed: 69% on Oct 20, 68% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | 68% | 68¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 3.9M | |
| Mike Rogers | 32% | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 5.3M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Michigan Senate winner? (2026)Mike Rogers (R)Kalshi 32%Polymarket 29%3 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Michigan Senate, Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers
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Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers clash in bitterly personal debateCNN Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers clash in bitterly personal debate A debate between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race was bitterly personal and contentious, while Republican Roger Marshall and… -
AIPAC Dumps Last-Minute $9M Behind Mike Rogers in Rebuke of Abdul El-SayedOct 22, 2026 at 05:12 PM EDT The super PAC controlled by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) is sending up to $9 million to a group backing Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan's U.S. Senate race, The New York Times reported… -
Mike Rogers says Abdul El-Sayed is a national security ‘risk’ who’s ‘bought’ by Muslim Brotherhood in testy Michigan Senate debateMichigan Senate hopeful Mike Rogers torched his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, during their debate Wednesday over his alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. Rogers, a former Republican congressman and retired FBI agent, brought up… -
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visitFox News Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visit Michigan Democrat Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed tells Fox News Digital that former President Barack Obama reminds voters of a president… -
Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers’ final debate clash sets up final sprint in MichiganThe second Michigan Senate debate on Wednesday featured several heated clashes between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers, though it was far more tame than an explosive first meeting earlier this… -
Democratic organizer fired after alleging Abdul El-Sayed is taking foreign money in Michigan Senate race: reportA Democratic organizer was fired after he alleged that Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed is accepting overseas campaign contributions, potentially in violation of federal law. “You know, [El-Sayed] has people from overseas that… -
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in DetroitFormer President Barack Obama joins Democratic candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson at a campaign rally in Detroit. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in Detroit Former President Barack Obama… -
Scrutinizing Abdul El-Sayed’s Radicalism Isn’t IslamophobicWhat It Means to Lose a Pregnancy Thinking Outside the Books Misdiagnosing the Economy, from Left and Right How the Author of the Constitution Won, Eventually As the Michigan Senate race enters the home stretch and Democratic nominee Abdul… -
"We're all on the same team": Dem Senator on getting moderate voters behind progressive Senate candidate Abdul El-SayedCNN ‘We’re all on the same team": Dem Senator on getting moderate voters behind progressive Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed CNN's Jessica Dean speaks to Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin about the neck-and-neck Senate race in Michigan as… -
Obama seeks to shore up Abdul El-Sayed with Black voters at Michigan rallyFormer President Barack Obama rallied for Michigan’s Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed in Detroit on Saturday as the bitterly fought contest could come down to the city’s substantial Black vote. “We’re clear about the choice in this… -
Barack Obama to rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan ahead of key US Senate race – US politics liveThe former Democratic president is showing major support in Detroit for the progressive Michigan candidate in final days before US midterm elections Hundreds of Michiganders have gathered outside Cass Technical High School in Detroit… -
Abdul El-Sayed: I have never been a member of the Muslim Brotherhood and never will beMichigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed discusses the war in Iran, affordability concerns facing Michigan residents and his campaign ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on ‘Special Report.’ Abdul El-Sayed: I have never been…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions