Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Before 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $3.1K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

9%Jerry Moran
  • Jerry Moran9%▼ 1
  • Mark Warner7%▼ 1
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester7%
  • Mike Lee6%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand5%
  • Ruben Gallego5%
  • Catherine Cortez Masto5%
  • Andy Kim5%
  • Josh Hawley4%▼ 1
  • Raphael Warnock4%▼ 1
  • Rand Paul4%▼ 1
  • Angela Alsobrooks2%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Jerry Moran: 9% on Oct 20, 9% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jerry Moran 9% ▼ 1 5¢ 12¢ $8.33 6.1K
Mark Warner 7% ▼ 1 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 4.4K
Lisa Blunt Rochester 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 2.1K
Mike Lee 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 11.5K
Kirsten Gillibrand 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 7.5K
Ruben Gallego 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 10.4K
Catherine Cortez Masto 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 2.8K
Andy Kim 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 620
Josh Hawley 4% ▼ 1 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 7.1K
Raphael Warnock 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 2.0K
Rand Paul 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 3.0K
Angela Alsobrooks 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 3.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

11%Thom Tillis
  • Thom Tillis11%
  • Andy Kim9%▲ 1
  • Kirsten Gillibrand9%▲ 1
  • Jacky Rosen7%
11 more
  • John Fetterman7%
  • Alex Padilla7%
  • Catherine Cortez Masto7%
  • Raphael Warnock7%
  • Mike Lee6%
  • Mark Warner6%
  • Josh Hawley6%
  • Rand Paul5%
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester4%▼ 1
  • Jerry Moran3%▼ 2
  • Ruben Gallego3%
PolymarketCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $435 today · $39K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Clarity Act, Senators, Jerry Moran

Search ›
  • Democrats Block Clarity Act Amendment to Bar ConvictedCoinfomania · 46 h agoDemocrats voted against an amendment to the Clarity Act that would bar felons from crypto fundraising. Here's why this matters. Democrats blocked a provision to ban felons from raising money in crypto. Senator Lummis emphasized the…
  • CLARITY Act News: Lummis Slams Democrats As Crypto Tax Reform Gains UrgencyCoinpedia Fintech News · 3 days agoWriter by choice, CryptoCurrency Writer, and Researcher by chance. Currently, focusing on financial news and analysis, as well as cryptocurrency news and data. One may not call me a crypto “Enthusiast” but trust me I'm getting there. The…
  • Democrats Vote Down Clarity Act, Limiting State AGs’Coinfomania · 3 days agoDemocrats voted against the Clarity Act, limiting state attorneys general's power to sue digital asset exchanges. The post Democrats Vote Down Clarity Act, Limiting State AGs’ appeared first on Coinfomania. The recent vote by Democrats…
  • WAVY talks with Democrat Sen. Mark WarnerYahoo News · 3 days agoBy Erin Banco and Joey Roulette WASHINGTON, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Well before the throttling this month of Ukraine's military access to Elon Musk's satellite communications system, the Biden and Trump Tyler Robinson is accused of fatally…
  • Cody Carbone Addresses Clarity Act’s Impact on CryptoCoinfomania · 3 days agoDigital Chamber's CEO discusses the Clarity Act and stablecoins on a podcast. Here's why clear legislation matters for crypto builders. Digital Chamber's CEO highlights the importance of the Clarity Act. Legislation aims to provide…
  • The CLARITY Act stalled. Can Congress pass crypto tax rules first?crypto.news · 3 days agoA new Senate tax proposal has joined a House bill already through committee. The measures address payments, fees and trading rules, but they have their own route to enactment and cannot settle market oversight. No. On September 15 the…
  • CLARITY Act: Lummis says Democrats blocked tougher rules against crypto crimecrypto.news · 3 days agoSenator Cynthia Lummis has renewed her criticism of Senate Democrats over the stalled CLARITY Act, accusing them of rejecting tougher cryptocurrency penalties and investor protections they had previously requested. The dispute follows the…
  • Blockchain Association Presses Congress on Crypto Taxes as Clarity Act StallsBitcoin Magazine · 4 days agoThe Blockchain Association asked congressional leaders Thursday to pass bipartisan crypto tax legislation, but with the Clarity Act near dead, the House bill stripped of mining and staking relief, and Congress out until after the midterms…
  • Senator Mark Warner speaks out on high cost of living29 News · 5 days agoCROZET, Va. (WVIR) - Senator Mark Warner has been speaking to Virginians around the state, and they say cost of living is too high. Warner pointed to a congressional report that found Virginia families were paying $39,000 more for goods…
  • Retired Maj. General Bert Mizusawa, challenging Sen. Mark Warner, says both parties to blame for deficitCBS 6 News Richmond WTVR · 4 days agoRICHMOND, Va. — With early voting underway and Election Day on Tuesday, November 3, less than two weeks away, it's time to meet the candidates. Each of the major candidates in Virginia's US Senate race and the three Congressional races in…
  • Coinbase Cuts Q3 Lobbying After CLARITY Act Senate Defeat, Here’s AllCoinGape · 4 days agoAllChained, live data on tokenized treasuries, funds and stablecoins. Who can buy tokenized funds? Bloomberg Government data shows that crypto lobbying by Coinbase and major industry groups fell in the third quarter of 2026. The pullback…
  • Clarity Act Advances as Democrats Reject Tougher CryptoCoinfomania · 4 days agoThe Clarity Act moves forward even as Democrats oppose stricter penalties for digital asset violations. Here's why this matters. Clarity Act aims to raise penalties for digital asset violations. Democrats voted against the motion to debate…

Related markets

All congress ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions