Oscar winner: Best Actress (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $925 today · $67.3K traded · $39.6K at stake · prices read 20 min ago

The odds

71%Julianne Moore
  • Julianne Moore71%▲ 1
  • Inde Navarrette18%▼ 2
  • Anne hathaway4%▲ 3
  • Sandra Hüller2%▼ 1
  • Renate Reinsve1%
  • Olivia Wilde1%
  • Cynthia Erivo<1%
  • Natalie Portman<1%
  • Joan Collins<1%
  • Scarlett Johansson<1%
  • Kirsten Dunst<1%
  • Penélope Cruz<1%
6 more
  • Dakota Johnson<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • Shailene Woodley<1%
  • Mikey Madison<1%
  • Kate O'Flynn<1%
  • Marion Bailey<1%

How the odds have moved

Julianne Moore: 70% on Oct 20, 71% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Julianne Moore 71% ▲ 1 71¢ 72¢ $1.39 55.3K
Inde Navarrette 18% ▼ 2 18¢ 20¢ $5.00 133.2K
Anne hathaway 4% ▲ 3 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 31.4K
Sandra Hüller 2% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 13.3K
Renate Reinsve 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 16.2K
Olivia Wilde 1% 2¢ $50.00 17.3K
Cynthia Erivo <1% 1¢ $100.00 6.5K
Natalie Portman <1% 1¢ $100.00 812
Joan Collins <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.3K
Scarlett Johansson <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.2K
Kirsten Dunst <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.0K
Penélope Cruz <1% 1¢ $100.00 12.3K
Dakota Johnson <1% 1¢ $100.00 340
Tie <1% 1¢ $100.00 13.3K
Shailene Woodley <1% 1¢ $100.00 146
Mikey Madison <1% 1¢ $100.00 8.2K
Kate O'Flynn <1% 1¢ $100.00 105
Marion Bailey <1% 1¢ $100.00 300

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Actress

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

47%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey47%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything27%▼ 4
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three6%
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%
  • Project Hail Mary77%
  • The Debut76%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything75%▼ 1
  • The Invite62%▲ 1
  • I Play Rocky60%▲ 7
  • All of a Sudden39%▲ 1
  • Fjord36%▲ 2
  • Elsinore31%▲ 2
  • Obsession31%▼ 2
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth24%▲ 1
  • Behemoth!22%▲ 6
  • Digger19%
  • Michael13%▲ 2
  • Avengers: Doomsday7%
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • Fatherland5%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey90%▲ 12
  • The Black Ball79%▲ 6
  • Dune: Part Three74%▲ 3
9 more
  • Sense and Sensibility57%▼ 7
  • I Love Boosters53%▲ 2
  • Werwulf48%▲ 4
  • Wuthering Heights48%▲ 16
  • The Devil Wears Prada 245%▲ 4
  • Michael35%▼ 3
  • Wild Horse Nine28%▲ 8
  • Digger26%▼ 8
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth22%▲ 1

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

75%The Baddest Speechwriter of All
  • The Baddest Speechwriter of All75%▲ 5
  • One Last Order53%▼ 4
  • Oh Whale53%▲ 9
7 more
  • A Derailment44%▲ 3
  • Water Cooler43%▲ 13
  • Listen35%▼ 7
  • We're Fine32%▲ 5
  • A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil24%▼ 1
  • The Tuners23%▼ 14
  • A Wolf in the Suburbs20%▲ 2

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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