National Book Award for Translated Literature (2026 | Translated Literature)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Nov 18, 2027 · $294 traded · $232 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

The odds

11%Your Presence Is a Danger to Your Life: Voices of Survival and Witness in Gaza
  • Your Presence Is a Danger to Your Life: Voices of Survival and Witness in Gaza11%
  • Pure Men9%
  • Night of a Thousand Hells7%
  • The School of Night6%
  • Centroeuropa5%
  • My Dreadful Body1%
  • Now I Surrender1%
  • Eden at Dawn1%
  • To the East of the East1%
  • The Disappearing Act1%
  • Tie1%

How the odds have moved

Your Presence Is a Danger to Your Life: : 2% on Oct 19, 11% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 4 PM ETYour Presence Is a Danger to…: 2% → 11%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Your Presence Is a Danger to Your Life: Voices of Survival and Witness in Gaza 11% 1¢ 31¢ $3.23 445
Pure Men 9% 1¢ 89¢ $1.12 1.0K
Night of a Thousand Hells 7% 1¢ 22¢ $4.55 445
The School of Night 6% 1¢ 84¢ $1.19 655
Centroeuropa 5% 1¢ 13¢ $7.69 445
My Dreadful Body 1% 2¢ $50.00 545
Now I Surrender 1% 2¢ $50.00 615
Eden at Dawn 1% 2¢ $50.00 615
To the East of the East 1% 2¢ $50.00 545
The Disappearing Act 1% 2¢ $50.00 3.0K
Tie 1% 18¢ $5.56 445

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: National Book Award, Translated Literature, Pure Men

Search ›
  • Edwidge Danticat’s ‘Dèy’ named a National Book Award finalistThe Haitian Times · 7 days agoHaitian American author Edwidge Danticat’s novel “Dèy” has been named a finalist for the 2026 National Book Award for Fiction, placing her latest work among five books competing for one of the United States’ major literary honors…
  • Filipino horror writers to keep you up at nightDaily Tribune · 3 days agoFILIPINO horror writers draw inspiration from folklore, urban legends and everyday fears that haunt readers long after the final page. Filipino horror draws from folklore, urban legends and everyday fears, turning familiar places into…
  • Best free Language Translation websitesThe Tech Edvocate · 3 days agoGoogle Translate is arguably the most popular and widely used translation service globally. It supports over 100 languages and offers various features such as text translation, voice input, conversation translations, and even image…
  • Deesha Philyaw says freedom fuels ‘True Confessions of First Lady Freeman’Elko Daily Free Press · 5 days agoJavascript is required to use this website. What's happening across Elko and beyond. Editorials, letters and local perspectives on the issues shaping Elko and beyond. Local sports news, scores and highlights from Elko and beyond. Explore…
  • Da Capo announces “TMI: Memoirs of a Go-Go” by Jane WiedlinHachette Book Group · 5 days agoUse code SPOOKY26 for 20% off storewide. The Go-Go’s were the first all-woman rock group to write their own songs, play their own instruments, and hit number one on the Billboard charts. As guitarist and lyricist, Jane Wiedlin helped…
  • A-E Source: Alibi Bookshop gets spooky with October book club pickThe Vacaville Reporter · 5 days agoWith Halloween just around the corner, Alibi Bookshop owner Karen Finlay has selected Carmen Maria Machado’s “Her Body and Other Parties” as the bookshop’s general book club pick. Described by critics as earthy, otherworldly, queer, darkly…
  • Why Nathaniel Philbrick says California’s Gold Rush led to the Civil WarThe Virginian-Pilot · 6 days agoIn his new book, “The Rush,” National Book Award-winning historian Nathaniel Philbrick offers a salty anecdote to illustrate the boom-or-bust economy of the California Gold Rush. “We think of the gold rush as a rush, but it had sort of…
  • 5 Thought-Provoking Books We’re Loving LatelySunday Paper PLUS · 6 days agoRise Above the Noise. Move Humanity Forward. 🏆 Be Healthy is now a Gracie Award–Winning Newsletter → Explore it now Do you procrastinate? Feel angst over your schedule? Get in your own way? Ben Meer’s book offers answers. Practical…
  • Book claiming white paint is racist is up for National Book Foundation award — yes, you read that correctlyBlaze Media · 7 days agoWendy Walters, like the National Book Awards' longlist, has an apparent aversion to all things white. Since 1950, the National Book Awards — now overseen by the National Book Foundation — has recognized the best in American literary…
  • Finalists for U.S. National Book Awards Announced, Ceremony Hosted by Kyle MacLachlanPublishing Perspectives · 10 days agoAcross the five categories, 14 authors and translators have been previously honored by the National Book Foundation. By Erin L. Cox, Publisher | @erinlcox Julián Delgado Lopera, Pretend You’re Dead and I Carry You, Liveright Morgan Thomas…
  • Writer, literacy champion and arts enthusiast Laurel Snyder’s 11 Good ThingsARTS ATL · 6 days agoLaurel Snyder is a poet and the author of more than 30 books for young readers, including Orphan Island, which was longlisted for the National Book Award, and Charlie & Mouse, which won the Theodor Seuss Geisel Award. She’s also the…
  • Brattleboro Literary Festival marks 25 yearsReformer · 7 days agoBRATTLEBORO — For 25 years, the Brattleboro Literary Festival has brought celebrated authors, curious readers and literary conversations to downtown, creating a weekend where book lovers can meet the people behind the pages. Bob Parks…

Related markets

All awards ›
Culture › Awards

National Book Award for Nonfiction (2026 | Nonfiction)

15%Mother Tongue
  • Mother Tongue15%
  • Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood8%
  • Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming4%
8 more
  • Let the Poets Govern: A Declaration of Freedom3%
  • The Midnight Special: The Secret Prison History of American Music2%
  • Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America1%
  • Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground1%
  • The War Within a War: The Black Struggle in Vietnam and at Home1%
  • The Evolution of Fire: Essays on Crisis and Becoming1%
  • A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint1%
  • Tie1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey48%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything27%▼ 2
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

99%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey99%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three83%
  • You Can See Everything80%
  • Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite62%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky57%
  • Artificial56%▲ 1
  • All of a Sudden37%
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore30%▲ 2
  • Wildwood26%▼ 3
  • Digger23%
  • Club Kid22%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann18%▲ 1
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth16%
  • Michael12%
  • Primetime10%
  • Ink8%▲ 2
  • Josephine6%
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%
  • Minotaur4%
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • Paper Tiger4%
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%▲ 1
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 3
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • Cry to Heaven3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • 1949 / Fatherland3%▼ 1
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%▲ 1
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%▲ 1
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan
  • Christopher Nolan97%
  • Javier Calvo89%
  • Martin McDonagh71%▲ 1
24 more
  • Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
  • Denis Villeneuve58%▲ 2
  • Olivia Wilde51%▲ 1
  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%▲ 1
  • Cristian Mungiu28%
  • Jesse Eisenberg24%
  • Phil Lord12%
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu12%▲ 2
  • Curry Barker10%
  • Christopher Miller10%▲ 1
  • David Fincher9%▲ 2
  • Paweł Pawlikowski8%▲ 1
  • Tony Gilroy8%▲ 1
  • Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
  • Mike Leigh5%▼ 6
  • Andrew Haigh5%
  • Joel Coen5%
  • Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
  • Na Hong-jin4%
  • Greta Gerwig4%
  • Beth de Araujo4%
  • Danny Boyle3%
  • Janus Metz Pedersen3%
  • James Ashcroft2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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