Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $2.2K traded · $1.8K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

70%Anthropic
  • Anthropic70%

How the odds have moved

Anthropic: 47% on Oct 20, 70% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

The news: Anthropic, Claude, Highest Arena Score

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

85%Google
  • Google85%▲ 1
  • Anthropic9%▼ 4
  • OpenAI1%
18 more
  • Meta1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
PolymarketCloses Sat 12:00 PM ET · $65.7K today

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

61%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3161%▼ 2
  • October 2724%▲ 6
  • October 295%▼ 3
11 more
  • October 285%▲ 1
  • October 302%▼ 2
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 311%▲ 1
  • October 26<1%▼ 4
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1
PolymarketCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $51.5K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions