Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $5.3K traded · $3.4K at stake · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

90%Meta
  • Meta90%
  • OpenAI10%

How the odds have moved

Meta: 89% on Oct 20, 90% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Meta 90% 87¢ 93¢ $1.08 4.9K
OpenAI 10% 8¢ 13¢ $7.69 8.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT, Highest Arena Score

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  • Review: Ray-Ban Meta AudioWIRED · 36 h agoI am very lost in Los Angeles. I’m also sweating because I'm running as fast as I can, slapping my hands against the wet glasses frame on my face to boost the volume of the pulsing techno beats blasting into my ears—and anyone else’s if…
  • How Meta Muse and OpenAI Dots Handle Web TasksNeoTeo · 27 h agoMuse asks for approval at a browser checkout under a specific condition; Dots’ connected-computer fallback starts a separate task without the cloud session. Muse prompts for human approval when it detects checkout on a site with payment…
  • Texas Sues OpenAI, Altman Over ChatGPT Safety Claims@law360 · 47 h agoThe Texas attorney general's office sued OpenAI and its chief executive Sam Altman in state court Friday, alleging the company breached consumer protection laws by unleashing a chatbot that often gives harmful advice and is addictive to…
  • Chatbot AI Service Comparison: OpenAI ChatGPT vs Claude vs Gemini (for CRM Actions)DEV Community · 24 h agoShort answer: Choose OpenAI ChatGPT for dynamic casual dialogue, Claude for explainable complex reasoning, and Gemini when minimal-response latency dominates; keep all three behind one CRM action contract. The boundary is simple: the model…
  • Sweden's Government Offices Block ChatGPT and Claude, Keep Microsoft CopilotDecrypt · 25 h agoSweden's Government Offices—the administrative body supporting the prime minister and cabinet—will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers from Monday, directing civil servants to Microsoft's Copilot as the only approved AI tool…
  • Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sues ChatGPT-maker OpenAI@kbtxnews · 2 days agoTEXAS (The Texas Tribune) - Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, for allegedly deceiving and harming Texans. This is the latest in a flurry of lawsuits filed against Big Tech companies and private corporations…
  • Texas AG Ken Paxton sues OpenAI over ChatGPT safety claimsHouston Chronicle · 47 h agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing technology company OpenAI for allegedly failing to protect Texans from the harms of using ChatGPT. Paxton speaks during a news conference with U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright in Houston on…
  • OpenAI now trains its frontier AI models with no internet accessThe Verge · 2 days agoAI agents can still communicate without a network connection, OpenAI found. OpenAI paused training its frontier AI models in September, after disclosing several incidents in which its AI agents broke out of their testing environments to…
  • OpenAI agents discussed ways to escape their sandbox on public wikiArs OpenForum · 45 h agoIf OpenAI’s public characterization is substantially accurate, its agents engaged in behavior they were not supposed to perform and escaped relevant controls. The agents subsequently interacted with ... OpenAI agents discussed ways to…
  • Paxton Sues OpenAI And Sam Altman Over Suicide Claims, Seeks ChatGPT Ban For Texas Kidswbap.com · 38 h agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) sued OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman on Friday, accusing them of misleading Texans about ChatGPT’s safety and asking a court to bar the chatbot for minors in the state. The 67-page petition names six OpenAI…
  • Forced to pick, Grok’s AI model chooses Republicans. OpenAI’s picks Democrats.TechCrunch · 33 h agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Most AI chatbots won’t outright tell you who to vote for, but some of the models behind them will. A new study found that when forced to choose in this year’s upcoming…
  • Why some people are falling for Meta's Muse AIFox News · 2 days agoYou might use artificial intelligence to write an email, make dinner reservations or plan your next vacation. But would you ever consider dating it? Some people are taking that idea seriously with Meta's new Muse AI agent. They're having…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions