Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $1.1K traded · $771 at stake · prices read 46 min ago

The odds

51%Xiaomi
  • Xiaomi51%
  • Alibaba49%

How the odds have moved

Xiaomi: 6% on Oct 20, 51% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Xiaomi 51% 50¢ 51¢ $1.96 52.00
Alibaba 49% 47¢ 50¢ $2.00 2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Highest Arena Score, Alibaba, Xiaomi

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

85%Google
  • Google85%▼ 6
  • Anthropic8%▲ 1
  • OpenAI1%▲ 1
18 more
  • Meta1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

63%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3163%▼ 7
  • October 2723%▲ 11
  • October 265%▲ 2
11 more
  • October 284%▲ 1
  • October 294%
  • October 302%
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 31<1%▼ 1
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions