Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
26.5median
1060
Median 26.5Middle half 21.5 – 29.9
Install
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
The last odds before it closed
—
- Above 1099%▲ 1
- Above 1599%▲ 2
- Above 2099%▲ 28
- Above 2299%▲ 58
- Above 2599%▲ 87
- Above 303%▼ 1
- Above 351%▼ 2
- Above 401%▼ 1
- Above 451%▼ 1
- Above 501%▼ 1
- Above 751%▼ 1
- Above 1001%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10 | 99% | ▲ 1 | $1.01 | 50.7K | ||
| Above 15 | 99% | ▲ 2 | $1.01 | 49.4K | ||
| Above 20 | 99% | ▲ 28 | $1.01 | 30.3K | ||
| Above 22 | 99% | ▲ 58 | $1.01 | 31.6K | ||
| Above 25 | 99% | ▲ 87 | $1.01 | 40.5K | ||
| Above 30 | 3% | ▼ 1 | $33.33 | 50.1K | ||
| Above 35 | 1% | ▼ 2 | $100.00 | 42.4K | ||
| Above 40 | 1% | ▼ 1 | $100.00 | 28.4K | ||
| Above 45 | 1% | ▼ 1 | $100.00 | 29.0K | ||
| Above 50 | 1% | ▼ 1 | $100.00 | 7.9K | ||
| Above 75 | 1% | ▼ 1 | $100.00 | 43.1K | ||
| Above 100 | 1% | ▲ 1 | $100.00 | 60.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran, Strait of Hormuz
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.