Grammy nominees: Song of the Year (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Nov 1, 2027 · $725 today · $25.6K traded · $15.3K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

93%Lost Boys
  • Lost Boys93%
  • Man I Need91%
  • the cure90%
  • Choosin' Texas88%▲ 2
  • I Knew It, I Knew You86%▼ 3
  • WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!83%▲ 3
  • The Great Divide71%
  • Risk It All47%▲ 2
  • Die On This Hill46%
  • Dracula (with JENNIE)41%
  • hate that i made you love me36%
  • Berghain26%
6 more
  • Aperture24%
  • drop dead3%
  • E853%
  • I Just Might2%
  • The Fate of Ophelia2%
  • So Easy (To Fall In Love)2%

How the odds have moved

Lost Boys: 93% on Oct 25, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lost Boys 93% 16¢ $1.08 15.00
Man I Need 91% 87¢ 94¢ $1.06 1.3K
the cure 90% 86¢ 94¢ $1.06 4.1K
Choosin' Texas 88% ▲ 2 86¢ 89¢ $1.12 4.4K
I Knew It, I Knew You 86% ▼ 3 85¢ 86¢ $1.16 12.9K
WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! 83% ▲ 3 81¢ 84¢ $1.19 4.2K
The Great Divide 71% 67¢ 75¢ $1.33 1.00
Risk It All 47% ▲ 2 43¢ 94¢ $1.06 648
Die On This Hill 46% 42¢ 50¢ $2.00 27.00
Dracula (with JENNIE) 41% 36¢ 45¢ $2.22 6.00
hate that i made you love me 36% 32¢ 40¢ $2.50 2.2K
Berghain 26% 21¢ 30¢ $3.33 225
Aperture 24% 20¢ 28¢ $3.57 2.4K
drop dead 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.2K
E85 3% 2¢ 99¢ $1.01 102
I Just Might 2% 4¢ $25.00 5.2K
The Fate of Ophelia 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 34.8K
So Easy (To Fall In Love) 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Grammys, Grammy, Lost Boys

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All awards ›

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey48%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything27%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball13%
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  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

99%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey99%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three83%
  • You Can See Everything80%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite62%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky57%
  • Artificial56%
  • All of a Sudden37%
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore30%▲ 3
  • Wildwood26%▼ 1
  • Digger23%
  • Club Kid22%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth16%
  • Michael12%
  • Primetime10%
  • Ink8%▲ 2
  • Josephine7%▲ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%
  • Minotaur4%
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • Paper Tiger4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 3
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • Cry to Heaven3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • 1949 / Fatherland3%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%▲ 1
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%▲ 1
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan
  • Christopher Nolan97%
  • Javier Calvo89%
  • Martin McDonagh71%
24 more
  • Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
  • Denis Villeneuve58%▲ 2
  • Olivia Wilde51%▲ 1
  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%
  • Cristian Mungiu28%
  • Jesse Eisenberg24%
  • Phil Lord12%
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu12%▲ 1
  • Curry Barker10%
  • Christopher Miller10%▲ 1
  • David Fincher9%▲ 2
  • Paweł Pawlikowski8%
  • Tony Gilroy8%
  • Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
  • Mike Leigh5%▼ 6
  • Andrew Haigh5%
  • Joel Coen5%
  • Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
  • Na Hong-jin4%
  • Greta Gerwig4%
  • Beth de Araujo4%
  • Danny Boyle3%
  • Janus Metz Pedersen3%
  • James Ashcroft2%

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey90%▲ 13
  • Dune: Part Three74%▲ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility65%▲ 6
9 more
  • The Black Ball64%▼ 6
  • I Love Boosters50%▼ 3
  • Werwulf49%▲ 3
  • Wuthering Heights44%▲ 11
  • Michael40%▲ 3
  • The Devil Wears Prada 235%▼ 6
  • Digger29%▲ 6
  • Wild Horse Nine28%▲ 6
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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