How many votes will be cast early in the Midterms? (As of Nov 4, 2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 4 · $28 today · $41 traded · $41 at stake · prices read 5 h ago

The odds

56.00Mmedian
39.00M69.00M
Median 56.00MMiddle half 50.08M – 63.43M

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 42 million 95% 90¢ 99¢ $1.01
At least 45 million 89% ▼ 1 84¢ 94¢ $1.06
At least 48 million 84% ▼ 1 79¢ 89¢ $1.12
At least 51 million 71% ▼ 1 66¢ 76¢ $1.32 1.00
At least 54 million 58% ▼ 1 53¢ 63¢ $1.59 1.00
At least 57 million 46% ▼ 1 42¢ 50¢ $2.00 86.00
At least 60 million 34% 30¢ 38¢ $2.63 1.00
At least 63 million 27% 23¢ 31¢ $3.23
At least 66 million 13% ▼ 1 9¢ 17¢ $5.88

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Midterms

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.