Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor in a Comedy Series (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Jan 3, 2028 · $1 today · $7.4K traded · $6.1K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

80%Matthew Rhys

Matthew Rhys80%▼ 1
Tim Allen4%
Steve Carell3%
Jeremy Allen White3%
Adam Brody3%
Jason Segel3%
Jason Sudeikis3%
David Alan Grier2%
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II1%
Zach Braff1%
Tracy Morgan1%
Utkarsh Ambudkar1%

4 more

Max Burkholder1%
Josh Charles1%
Denis Leary1%
Tie<1%

How the odds have moved

Matthew Rhys: 73% on Oct 20, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 23, 9 PM ETMatthew Rhys: 70% → 79%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Matthew Rhys	80%	▼ 1	80¢	86¢	$1.16	5.8K
Tim Allen	4%		3¢	6¢	$16.67	46.1K
Steve Carell	3%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	942
Jeremy Allen White	3%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	3.6K
Adam Brody	3%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	942
Jason Segel	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00	961
Jason Sudeikis	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00	942
David Alan Grier	2%		1¢	3¢	$33.33	942
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	942
Zach Braff	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	942
Tracy Morgan	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	942
Utkarsh Ambudkar	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	942
Max Burkholder	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	942
Josh Charles	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	942
Denis Leary	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	942
Tie	<1%			1¢	$100.00	16.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Critics Choice Awards, Best Actor, Matthew Rhys

Search ›

Barossa wine awarded a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for sixth timeWinetitles · 3 days agoFirst Drop Wines’ Mother’s Milk Shiraz, a wine that retails for just AUD $28, has been honoured with a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for the sixth time. The 2023 vintage will be recognised in New York City this Thursday, 22 October…
Actor bags Best Actor nod!dailysun · 2 days agoMPILO Mbatha has been in the acting industry for almost five years, and he’s made his mark. His TV roles have caught viewers’ attention, and he believes this is why he landed his first nomination at the National Film and Television Awards…
Star Trek TNG Best Actor Still Confused By The Best EpisodeYahoo Entertainment · 20 h agoWhat's not to understand about "Yesterday's Enterprise?" To better understand Frakes' comment, we need to touch on the plot of this standout third-season episode. The episode begins normally enough, but our familiar Enterprise-D crew soon…
Jaafar Jackson to Receive Critics Choice Award for ‘Michael’MJVibe · 4 days agoJaafar Jackson continues to receive recognition for his portrayal of his uncle, Michael Jackson, in the biographical film Michael. The actor has been announced as one of the honorees at the 9th annual Critics Choice Association’s…
Where is the cast of The Americans now? Catch up with Keri Russell, Matthew Rhys, and moreEW.com · 5 days agoCatch up with “The Americans” cast to see where their careers have taken them. FX’s Reagan-era spy drama The Americans followed the exploits of Elizabeth (Keri Russell) and Philip Jennings (Matthew Rhys), a pair of KGB sleeper agents…
‘Matthew Rhys and Claire Danes are a force’: This ‘gripping’ Netflix thriller is your next must-watchCosmopolitan UK · 5 days agoNeed a new Netflix series to sink your teeth into? Look no further Right now is the best time of year to get really stuck in to some great TV. With darker, chillier evenings drawing in, settling down to binge an incredible series is one of…
Ryan Gosling resurfaces for ‘Project Hail Mary,’ bumps Tom Cruise from Best Actor fieldGold Derby · 4 days agoGosling had been out of the limelight for the past two months but now appears ready to hit the campaign trail. Ryan Gosling resurfaces for âProject Hail Mary,â bumps Tom Cruise from Best Actor field Was Ryan Gosling really punting on…
Hugh Grant Horror Movie That Almost Got Him an Oscar Nomination Is Now Streaming For FreeTV & Streaming News · 35 h agoHome » Hugh Grant Horror Movie That Almost Got Him an Oscar Nomination Is Now Streaming For Free Hugh Grant‘s eerie horror offering is now available to stream for free. Scott Beck and Bryan Woods’ Heretic is now streaming on Fandango. The…
Creators Are Getting Their Own Critics Choice Awards. Here’s How to EnterWhat's Trending · 6 days agoThe Critics Choice Association, the critics group behind one of the biggest stops on Hollywood’s awards circuit, opened submissions Monday for its inaugural Critics Choice Creator Awards. Creators can enter work first released between Jan…
Ken Atchity, Producer on ‘Joe Somebody’ and ‘The Meg,’ Dies at 82The Hollywood Reporter · 30 h agoThe author and literary manager also worked on Maggie Gyllenhaal’s ‘Hysteria’ and Angelina Jolie’s ‘Life or Something Like It.’ Ken Atchity, an author and professor who became a literary manager and producer on such films as Joe Somebody…
Kylie Jenner Reportedly Hopes Timothée Chalamet Will Propose Soon After 3 Years TogetherThought Catalog · 2 days agoUpdated 26 minutes ago, October 22, 2026 Kylie Jenner wants marriage to be part of her future with Timothée Chalamet, but an insider says the actor’s commitment to their relationship hasn’t translated into readiness for an engagement…
"Bitingly Timely": Tom Hanks and Matthew Rhys' "Outstanding" True-Story Thriller is on Prime Video NowEsquire UK · 6 days agoThis political thriller covers one of the greatest U.S. press scandals of the 20th century All eyes have been on Welsh actor Matthew Rhys this year, thanks to his performance in Apple TV’s sleeper-hit horror-comedy Widow’s Bay. Which means…

Related markets

All awards ›

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

44%The Odyssey

The Odyssey44%
You Can See Everything29%▲ 1
La Bola Negra13%▼ 1

24 more

Dune: Part Three7%▼ 1
Digger4%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial<1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
The Invite<1%
The Drama<1%
Behemoth!<1%
Josephine<1%
Tony<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
The Debut<1%
Obsession<1%
I Play Rocky<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Saturn Return<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Clarissa<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fatherland<1%
Michael<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway88%
Penélope Cruz77%
Samantha Morton76%▲ 1

15 more

Tao Okamoto62%▼ 5
Amanda Seyfried45%▼ 14
Kate O'Flynn42%▲ 1
Olivia Colman33%▲ 5
Mariana di Girolamo29%▼ 2
Sandra Hüller25%▼ 5
Parker Posey21%▼ 1
Merritt Wever18%▲ 5
Gemma Chan12%▲ 3
Danielle Deadwyler11%▲ 1
Zendaya7%▼ 1
Betty Gilpin6%▲ 1
Isabella Rossellini5%
Margaret Qualley3%▼ 1
Inde Navarrette1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

92%Matt Damon

Matt Damon92%▼ 3
John Malkovich88%
Andrew Scott85%

16 more

Tom Cruise50%▼ 13
John Turturro45%▲ 2
Anthony Ippolito44%▲ 13
Ryan Gosling43%▼ 5
Robert Pattinson41%▼ 3
Sebastian Stan19%▼ 1
Jaafar Jackson17%
Pedro Pascal16%▲ 2
Timothée Chalamet11%▼ 2
Sam Rockwell7%▲ 2
Javier Bardem5%
Adam Driver5%
Josh O'Connor5%
Brad Pitt4%
Robert Aramayo3%
Jeremy Strong2%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey

The Odyssey97%
La Bola Negra95%
Wild Horse Nine91%▼ 1

19 more

Dune: Part Three88%▲ 1
Project Hail Mary77%
The Debut77%▼ 1
You Can See Everything76%▼ 6
The Invite61%▼ 1
I Play Rocky57%▲ 14
All of a Sudden38%▲ 1
Fjord34%▼ 3
Obsession32%▲ 2
Elsinore26%▼ 5
The Adventures of Cliff Booth25%▲ 1
Digger19%
Behemoth!18%▲ 2
Michael11%
Avengers: Doomsday7%
Disclosure Day5%
Fatherland5%
The Drama3%
The Social Reckoning2%▼ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

90%Wild Horse Nine

Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 4
The Debut90%▲ 6
Club Kid56%▼ 5

15 more

Obsession55%▲ 8
Fjord51%
Elsinore34%▲ 8
Behemoth!21%▼ 3
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma20%▲ 4
The Drama17%▼ 3
Josephine13%▲ 4
Digger13%▼ 1
Forgotten Island5%▲ 2
The Odyssey4%
The Invite4%
A Place in Hell4%
Fatherland3%▼ 2
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth3%
The Black Ball2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

94%The Odyssey

The Odyssey94%
Dune: Part Three82%▼ 10
Project Hail Mary64%▼ 1

6 more

Fatherland45%▼ 8
Werwulf43%▲ 11
Digger33%▲ 5
Obsession17%▲ 2
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth15%
Josephine10%▼ 2

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCritics Choice Awards

Trading closesJan 3, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$7.4K (83,557 contracts)

Today$1

This week$159

At stake$6.1K

In the news2 headlines today, 10 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Matthew Rhys has won Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.