Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Jan 3, 2028 · $2.9K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

43%John Malkovich
  • John Malkovich43%▲ 1
  • Matt Damon16%
  • Andrew Scott10%
  • Sebastian Stan4%
  • Robert Pattinson4%
  • Pedro Pascal4%
  • John Turturro3%
  • Anthony Ippolito3%
  • Dominic Sessa3%
  • Tom Cruise3%
  • Brad Pitt2%
  • Ryan Gosling1%
4 more
  • Jordan Firstman1%
  • Jack O’Connell1%
  • Miles Teller1%
  • Tie<1%

How the odds have moved

John Malkovich: 44% on Oct 20, 43% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
John Malkovich 43% ▲ 1 43¢ 51¢ $1.96 4.8K
Matt Damon 16% 14¢ 23¢ $4.35 37.00
Andrew Scott 10% 6¢ 16¢ $6.25 272
Sebastian Stan 4% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 37.00
Robert Pattinson 4% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 37.00
Pedro Pascal 4% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 37.00
John Turturro 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 37.00
Anthony Ippolito 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 37.00
Dominic Sessa 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 37.00
Tom Cruise 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 37.00
Brad Pitt 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 2.0K
Ryan Gosling 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 26.1K
Jordan Firstman 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 42.00
Jack O’Connell 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 37.00
Miles Teller 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 37.00
Tie <1% 1¢ $100.00 8.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Critics Choice Awards, Best Actor, John Malkovich

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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway
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  • Betty Gilpin6%▲ 2
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

44%The Odyssey
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Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 4
  • Andrew Scott86%▲ 1
  • John Malkovich85%▼ 4
16 more
  • Tom Cruise51%▼ 13
  • John Turturro47%▲ 5
  • Robert Pattinson44%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling43%▼ 3
  • Anthony Ippolito41%▲ 10
  • Sebastian Stan19%
  • Jaafar Jackson18%▲ 1
  • Pedro Pascal16%
  • Timothée Chalamet10%▼ 3
  • Sam Rockwell7%▲ 1
  • Josh O'Connor5%▼ 1
  • Javier Bardem5%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Brad Pitt4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%▲ 1

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • La Bola Negra96%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▼ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%
  • Project Hail Mary77%
  • The Debut77%
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  • I Play Rocky63%▲ 18
  • The Invite61%
  • All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
  • Fjord34%▼ 2
  • Obsession31%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth22%▼ 2
  • Elsinore21%▼ 10
  • Digger19%
  • Behemoth!19%▲ 1
  • Michael11%
  • Avengers: Doomsday7%
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • Fatherland5%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%▲ 1

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

91%The Debut
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  • Wild Horse Nine89%▼ 5
  • Club Kid59%▼ 1
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  • Obsession51%▼ 5
  • Fjord48%▼ 1
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  • Behemoth!21%▼ 3
  • The Drama20%
  • Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma20%▲ 4
  • Digger13%▼ 1
  • Josephine12%▲ 2
  • Forgotten Island5%▲ 2
  • The Odyssey4%
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  • The Black Ball2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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