Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry? (Before Jan 4, 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 4, 2027 · $564 traded · $229 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

5%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 6% on Oct 20, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 5% 3¢ 7¢ $13.70 10.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballotsFox News · 8 h agoPresident Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump deliver remarks after casting their early voting ballots in West Palm Beach, Fla. President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballots President Donald Trump and first lady…
  • President Trump and first lady Melania Trump vote early in West Palm BeachNew York Post · 6 h agoA hoarse-sounding President Trump and first lady Melania Trump voted early in West Palm Beach on Saturday – as Trump vowed to keep up the vigorous campaign schedule A hoarse-sounding President Trump cast his ballot alongside first lady…
  • Tracking Trump: Trump rolls back Canada tariffs; Melania Trump’s peace deal; Hegseth bans insider trading; and moreThe Washington Post · 32 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Trump rolled back some…
  • Obama Mocks Trump’s White House RenovationsNewsweek · 6 h agoOct 24, 2026 at 07:24 PM EDT Former President Barack Obama took several shots at President Donald Trump's focus on White House renovations during a rally in Ohio on Saturday, joking that Trump "should be on HGTV" and ridiculing reports of…
  • Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout?Fox News · 10 h agoPaul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.' Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout? Paul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.'
  • Trump casts early in-person ballot | CNN PoliticsCNN · 5 h agoPresident Donald Trump cast an early ballot at a polling station in South Florida on Saturday. Despite the president's previous attacks on various voting methods such as mail-in voting and early voting, Trump has urged Republican voters to…
  • Obama slams Trump on campaign trail in OhioCBS News · 5 h agoCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 CBS13 News Weekend 5pm CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm
  • Trump Renews Talks of Pardoning White House StaffNewsweek · 6 h agoOct 24, 2026 at 06:55 PM EDT President Donald Trump left the door open to pardons for White House staff and administration officials, telling reporters on Saturday that he would be "allowed" to grant them despite insisting he has not given…
  • Trump lauds Melania over Russia-Ukraine localised ceasefire dealAl Jazeera · 2 h agoAl Jazeera Trump lauds Melania over Russia-Ukraine localised ceasefire deal US President Donald Trump praised First Lady Melania Trump, saying she was ‘better than our professionals’ following her diplomatic efforts towards a localised…
  • Trump: Tariffs have made us richFox News · 31 h agoPresident Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United States at a midterm campaign rally in Fort Myers, Fla. Trump: Tariffs have made us rich President Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United…
  • Trump administration moves to nix TSA union contract — againPOLITICO · 3 h agoA prior attempt was halted by a federal judge. A badge is seen on the uniform of a TSA agent at a security checkpoint at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on Nov. 6 in SeaTac, Washington. | Lindsey Wasson/AP 12/12/2025 7:24 PM EST The…
  • Trump votes early in West Palm Beach, criticizes DemocratsCBS News · 4 h agoPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot for the midterm elections Saturday in West Palm Beach, accompanied by first lady Melania Trump. After voting, Trump criticized Democrats, accusing them of widespread corruption in several states and…

Related markets

All congress ›

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

11%Thom Tillis
  • Thom Tillis11%▼ 1
  • Kirsten Gillibrand9%▲ 1
  • Andy Kim8%
12 more
  • Jacky Rosen7%
  • John Fetterman7%
  • Alex Padilla7%
  • Raphael Warnock7%▼ 2
  • Mike Lee7%▲ 1
  • Rand Paul7%
  • Catherine Cortez Masto7%
  • Mark Warner6%▼ 1
  • Josh Hawley6%
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester5%
  • Jerry Moran5%▼ 3
  • Ruben Gallego3%▼ 4

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.