Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
67%Democrats Sweep
- Democrats Sweep67%▼ 2
- R Senate, D House25%▲ 1
- Republicans Sweep8%
2 more
- D Senate, R House1%
- Other<1%
Install
Will Trump impose capital controls?
The odds
19%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 20% on Oct 20, 19% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19% | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 6.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
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Trump Asked Google To Rename Atlantic Ocean ‘Trump Ocean’Oct 22, 2026 at 04:59 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 06:17 AM EDT President Donald Trump has claimed he spoke to Google about renaming a body of water after himself, saying the technology company rejected the idea because oceans border multiple… -
Could Ukraine win sans Trump?From the SitRoom to the E-Ring, the inside scoop on defense, national security and foreign policy. By GREGORY SVIRNOVSKIY and GISELLE RUHIYYIH EWING 10/22/2026 04:01 PM EDT President Donald Trump's tiff with Kyiv means President Volodymyr… -
Trump aide Corey Lewandowski "put in a box" by Trump and ordered to narrow focus to New HampshireUpdated on: October 14, 2024 / 7:23 PM EDT / CBS News As former President Donald Trump entered his final weeks of campaigning, the uneasy relationship between rival factions of his campaign's leadership has grown more testy, with sources… -
Trump looks to expand Trump Accounts for adultsFox News Trump looks to expand Trump Accounts for adults Former Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender discusses the potential expansion of Trump accounts for adults. -
Trump signs housing affordability executive orderThe order aims to reduce mortgage costs as interest rates soar before the midterms. President Donald Trump signed an executive order Thursday aimed at reducing some costs associated with mortgages and boosting manufactured housing… -
Trump’s Iran sanctions run into limitsThe Trump administration is steadily ratcheting up pressure on Iran with sanctions, but experts and former officials say the penalties thus far are having a limited effect on the Islamic Republic’s willingness to negotiate. Nate Swanson… -
America must reverse Trump’s moral squalorThe president shows a unique disregard for the opinions, norms and ideals of the nation – and, for that matter, humanity The Democrats’ focus on affordability seems to be a winning strategy (we’ll know for sure in a little over two weeks)… -
Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate raceCNBC Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate race -
Trump administration divided over housing orderThe Trump administration is at odds over an executive order targeting housing affordability, people familiar with the talks told Semafor. The White House has grappled with how to address the cost of living ahead of the midterms, which are… -
Trump makes urgent plea ahead of midtermsFox News Trump makes urgent plea ahead of midterms President Donald Trump urges supporters to vote as if he's on the ballot, claiming turnout rises when he's running and warning that his policy gains could quickly disappear. -
Tracking Trump: Witkoff’s Putin backlash; Hegseth’s staff breaks a historic globe; Trump asks Google about renaming the Atlantic; and moreThe Washington Post Trump’s special envoy faced backlash for praising Putin. -
DOJ opens investigation into Trump ally Corey LewandowskiDOJ launches probe into President Trump's adviser Corey Lewandowski after DHS watchdog referral. The Justice Department (DOJ) has launched an investigation into longtime Trump adviser Corey Lewandowski, a source familiar with the matter…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.