Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Nov 30 · $13.9K today · $1.1M traded · $357K at stake · prices read 35 min ago

The odds

6%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 6% ▼ 1 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 $1.1M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Iran, Strait of Hormuz

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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

64%Gadi Eizenkot
  • Gadi Eizenkot64%▲ 7
  • Benjamin Netanyahu23%▼ 3
  • Naftali Bennett9%▼ 3
16 more
  • Avigdor Lieberman2%
  • Itamar Ben Gvir<1%
  • Yossi Cohen<1%
  • Yair Golan<1%
  • Israel Katz<1%
  • Amir Ohana<1%
  • Benny Gantz<1%
  • Gideon Sa’ar<1%
  • Yariv Levin<1%
  • Moshe Feiglin<1%
  • Ayelet Shaked<1%
  • Yoaz Hendel<1%
  • Nir Barkat<1%
  • Gilad Erdan<1%
  • Ofer Winter<1%
  • Yair Lapid<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions