The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
December 31, 2025
<1%
0¢
$28.4K
June 30, 2026
<1%
0¢
$414K
December 31, 2026
46%
▲ 27
13¢
78¢
$1.28
$19.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
New U.S. Embassy Jerusalem Alert Highlights Aviation RisksThe Traveler · 2 days agoA new security alert dated October 23, 2026 from the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem urges American travelers to brace for possible flight disruptions across the Middle East. A security alert dated October 23, 2026 from the U.S. Embassy in…
U.S. Embassy Says Security Ramped up in Jordan After Deadly Church AttackHaaretz · 2 days agoSeven people were killed and 40 wounded when gunmen opened fire during a funeral at a Greek Orthodox church in Karak. Authorities are searching for the attackers and have yet to determine whether they were linked to known militant groups…
Iran Plot Warning Triggers U.S. Embassy Drawdownenmnews.com · 3 days agoU.S. intelligence has warned that Iran has stepped up efforts to target American diplomats and officials overseas, with some lethal plots described as having reached advanced stages, according to a memo sent to Secretary of State Marco…
U.S. Embassy in Saudi Arabia Issues New Security Alert Ahead of WWE Crown Jewel in Riyadh411MANIA | Wrestling News · 2 days agoIt’s another day and another new travel advisory from the U.S. Embassy & Consulates in Saudi Arabia. As you all know, there’s an ongoing situation in the Middle East due to the Iran War, with the Iran-supported Houthi forces targeting…
Inside the reopened U.S. Embassy in CaracasNBC News · 5 days agoDiplomats returned to the building after seven years, when ties with Venezuela were severed under Nicolás Maduro. CARACAS, Venezuela — The American Embassy was abandoned seven years ago, after President Nicolás Maduro broke off diplomatic…
U.S. embassy accuses Canadian leaders of election interferenceToronto Sun · 4 days agoFact sheet suggests political meddling by Industry Minister Melanie Joly, Ontario Premier Doug Ford The U.S. Embassy in Ottawa is accusing the federal government and other leaders of political meddling with less than two weeks before…
U.S. embassy accuses Canadian politicians of interfering in American electionsBNN Bloomberg · 5 days agoOTTAWA — Prime Minister Mark Carney and Ontario Premier Doug Ford both disputed the suggestion of Canadian interference in the U.S. midterms, after the U.S. embassy in Canada released a list of quotes from Canadian politicians which it…
U.S. embassy helps restore ancient mosaics in TurkmenistanThe Times Of Central Asia · 4 days agoASHGABAT (TCA) — U.S. Ambassador to Turkmenistan Allan Mustard on August 14 celebrated the completion of a joint project with the Museum of Fine Arts in U.S. embassy helps restore ancient mosaics in Turkmenistan ASHGABAT (TCA) — U.S…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
